Back to Games Thursday, Jul 16, 2026

Golden State Valkyries W vs Indiana Fever W Final Score 88-75 — Jul 16, 2026 | Score, Box Score & Stats

NBA W NBA W · Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Scoreboard

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 T
Valkyries W 20 20 18 30 88
Fever W 18 12 21 24 75

AI PREDICTIONNeural Network Forecast

AI

This forecast was generated before tip-off — compare it with the final score above.

Q1Q2Q3Q4 T
Valkyries W 21202424 89
Fever W 24232524 96
Confidence: 68% Fever W favored
Indiana Fever enters this matchup as heavy favorites on both form and home court. The Fever sit atop the Eastern Conference at 14-9, boasting a +3.4 net rating and scoring 93.4 PPG—among the league's elite offenses. Kelsey Mitchell's 21.8 PPG scoring combined with Caitlin Clark's playmaking (7.2 APG) and Aliyah Boston's interior dominance (8.4 RPG) create a balanced, difficult offense to defend. Recent form is stellar: a 34-point demolition of Las Vegas on July 13 showcases the Fever's upside. However, Golden State Valkyries represent a legitimate challenge. The Valkyries boast the league's stingiest defense, holding opponents to 76.2 PPG, and enter on a four-game win streak with a 18-7 record (0.708 win pct). Their depth is exemplified by Gabby Williams (15.0 PPG), Janelle Salaun (13.0 PPG), and V. Burton (12.3 PPG, 5.2 APG). The head-to-head history is competitive: Golden State won in May (90-88), but Indiana responded with a 90-82 home victory. This game will likely be a low-scoring affair; Golden State's defensive prowess should suppress Indiana's offensive efficiency from its season average, while Indiana's depth should stifle the Valkyries' inconsistent scoring. The Fever's pace and home court should edge them out in a tight contest. Look for the third quarter to be pivotal, as both teams adjust defensively and fatigue begins to set in. Indiana's ability to run in transition and generate easy buckets will be crucial against Golden State's methodical, defensive-first approach.

Scoring Dynamics

First Half (Q1-Q2) 94P Fever control pace, Golden State defensive intensity high
Second Half (Q3-Q4) 91P Both teams settle into grind; slight fatigue favors Fever
Total Points 185 Range 175-195

Matchup Analysis

Fever W

Elite offensive efficiency (93.4 PPG)
Strong home court advantage
Kelsey Mitchell scoring punch
Caitlin Clark playmaking edge
Shallow bench depth
Vulnerability to defensive pressure

Valkyries W

Best defense in league (76.2 OPPG)
Four-game win streak
Balanced scoring depth
Road warrior consistency
Low offensive PPG (81.8)
Perimeter shooting variability

Risk Factors

Golden State road form historically strong
Back-and-forth scoring runs likely late
Foul trouble could shift momentum quickly

Players to Watch

Kelsey Mitchell Fever W 21.8 PPG scorer; must exploit size on perimeter against Golden State
Caitlin Clark Fever W 7.2 APG; tempo control and pick-and-roll creation essential to pace
Gabby Williams Valkyries W 15.0 PPG with elite two-way versatility; key defensive anchor
Aliyah Boston Fever W 8.4 RPG rebounder; must dominate interior against Valkyries

Statistical Edges

First to Score Fever W 56%
Hottest Quarter Q3  

Game Preview

Indiana comes out aggressive in Q1, with Mitchell hitting a pair of three-pointers and Clark orchestrating pick-and-roll action. Aliyah Boston dominates the glass early, giving the Fever a 24-21 edge after one. The second quarter sees Golden State's defense tighten significantly; Gabby Williams and Cecilia Zandalasini press the perimeter, forcing turnovers and stalling Indiana's rhythm. V. Burton's playmaking keeps the Valkyries close at 47-41 halftime, with neither offense finding flow against elite perimeter defense. Coming out of the break, both teams trade buckets; Mitchell answers Williams' drives, and Boston's interior presence forces Golden State into difficult angles. By the end of Q3, Indiana's pace advantage and defensive grit push them to 72-65. The fourth quarter becomes a grind. Golden State mounts a push at 75-72 with 6 minutes remaining, but Clark steadies the offense with key assists to Mitchell and Boston, extending Indiana's lead to 91-83. With 90 seconds left, a defensive rebound by Boston all but seals it. Final: Indiana 96, Golden State 89. Mitchell finishes with 24 points, Clark with 16 assists, while Williams leads Golden State with 18 points in a losing effort.
Indiana's home court, elite offense, and recent dominant form outweigh Golden State's superior defense and road strength. The Fever's +3.4 net rating and h2h advantage provide confidence, though Golden State's defensive ceiling keeps margin modest.

Golden State Valkyries W vs Indiana Fever W — Game Recap

Golden State Valkyries W beat Indiana Fever W 88-75 in NBA W play on July 16, 2026 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.

Golden State Valkyries W led 40-30 at halftime, and they finished the job with a 13-point margin.

Before tip-off, our AI model predicted Indiana Fever W to win 96-89 — the pick missed. The forecast projected 185 total points against 163 actually scored; the full quarter-by-quarter prediction for this game is free to view on this page.

Follow Golden State Valkyries W vs Indiana Fever W in the NBA W with live scores, a quarter-by-quarter scoreboard, full box score, and team statistics. Basketball Predicts combines real-time data with AI-powered analytics — team form, head-to-head history, and scoring trends — to give you the complete picture of every matchup.

Season Comparison

Valkyries W
STAT
Fever W
17-7 Record 14-9
.708 PCT .609
3 Position (Western Conference / Eastern Conference) 1
1967 Points For 2162
1828 Points Against 2048
24 Games Played 23
- Streak -
81.8 Points Per Game 93.4
76.2 Opp. Points Per Game 90.0

Head to Head

1
Last 2 meetings
1
May 29, 2026
Fever W 88 - 90 Valkyries W
May 22, 2026
Valkyries W 82 - 90 Fever W

Valkyries W Recent

Jul 10 @ Sun W 79-64 W
Jul 8 @ Tempo W 83-75 W
Jul 6 @ Mystics W 62-49 W
Jul 4 @ Dream W 88-83 W
Jun 28 vs Liberty W 67-76 W

Fever W Recent

Jul 13 @ Aces W 109-75 W
Jul 10 @ Mercury W 92-89 W
Jul 9 @ Sparks W 92-106 L
Jul 5 @ Aces W 84-68 W
Jun 28 vs Sparks W 87-111 W

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