Connecticut Sun W vs Phoenix Mercury W Final Score 63-72 — Jul 19, 2026 | Score, Box Score & Stats
NBA W · Mortgage Matchup Center
Scoreboard
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sun W
|
12 | 21 | 16 | 14 | 63 |
Mercury W
|
18 | 25 | 11 | 18 | 72 |
AI PREDICTIONNeural Network Forecast
AIThis forecast was generated before tip-off — compare it with the final score above.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Sun W
|
22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 87 |
|
Mercury W
|
20 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 81 |
Confidence: 58%
Sun W favored
Connecticut Sun pulled off a 96-83 road win yesterday at Phoenix, exposing Mercury's defensive vulnerabilities and offensive inconsistency. Phoenix has now lost five consecutive games and sits 8-18 at home, while Connecticut improved to 7-18 overall despite a dreadful 6-19 record. Both teams rank among the league's worst offensively and defensively, making this a low-scoring slog. Phoenix's K. Copper (20.4 PPG) and A. Thomas (8.0 APG) form a capable scoring duo, but Mercury's 87.3 PPG allowed suggests they cannot stop Connecticut's multi-headed attack anchored by B. Griner (13.5 PPG, 5.5 RPG). Connecticut's recent form—beating Phoenix yesterday, plus wins over Portland and Minnesota Lynx—indicates momentum and confidence, while Phoenix's five-game skid suggests internal struggles. Both teams face a second game in two days, raising fatigue concerns, but Connecticut's fresh momentum from yesterday's victory gives them the edge in what will be a grinding, low-efficiency affair. The game projects to the mid-80s range total, typical for teams shooting poorly and playing isolated, inefficient offenses.
Scoring Dynamics
First Half (Q1-Q2)
80P
Sluggish offensive pace, both teams struggling
Second Half (Q3-Q4)
88P
Slight uptick as defenses tire late
Total Points
168
Range 160-176
Matchup Analysis
Mercury W
K. Copper scoring punch
A. Thomas playmaking ability
Home court advantage
5-game losing streak
Defensive efficiency poor
Sun W
Just beat Phoenix yesterday
Defensive intensity improving
B. Griner interior presence
Season record 6-19
Offensive inconsistency
Risk Factors
Both teams in major slump
Back-to-back game fatigue
Low-efficiency offensive trend
Players to Watch
K. Copper
Mercury W
Leading scorer at 20.4 PPG, must carry offense against Sun defense
B. Griner
Sun W
Defensive anchor and interior scoring; critical matchup edge
A. Thomas
Mercury W
Distributes at 8.0 APG; sets up Copper for efficiency
Lacan Leila
Sun W
Secondary scoring and ball handling against Mercury guards
Statistical Edges
First to Score
Sun W
52%
Hottest Quarter
Q4
Game Preview
Connecticut gets out to a steady start, with B. Griner establishing interior presence while Lacan Leila runs the offense, building a 22-20 Q1 edge. Phoenix's K. Copper keeps Mercury close with her scoring prowess, but Phoenix cannot establish defensive rhythm. In the second quarter, both offenses sputter; Connecticut's defense tightens, holding Phoenix to just 19 points while Sun add 21, stretching the lead to 43-39 at halftime. Phoenix makes a third-quarter push, with Thomas running pick-and-roll sets and Copper attacking downhill to match Connecticut's 22 points and keep the deficit manageable at 65-60. The fourth quarter remains tight, but Connecticut's defensive intensity and Griner's physicality down low prove decisive. Connecticut adds 22 to Phoenix's 21 in the final frame, closing out 87-81 as Mercury's comeback falls short and the Sun secure their second straight win over Phoenix.
Connecticut just beat Phoenix yesterday and holds recent momentum, but both teams are historically poor and prone to inconsistency. Slight favor to away team based on fresh confidence and Griner's defensive anchor, but volatility remains high given talent disparities.
Team Stats
Sun W
STAT
Mercury W
| Team | FG | FG% | 3P | 3P% | FT | FT% | REB | OREB | DREB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun W |
18/44 | 41% | 4/14 | 29% | 15/19 | 79% | 35 | - | - | 13 | 6 | 4 | 21 | - |
| Mercury W |
24/48 | 50% | 2/15 | 13% | 18/23 | 78% | 32 | - | - | 19 | 11 | 3 | 14 | - |
Connecticut Sun W vs Phoenix Mercury W — Game Recap
Phoenix Mercury W beat Connecticut Sun W 72-63 in NBA W play on July 19, 2026 at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Phoenix Mercury W led 43-33 at halftime, and they finished the job with a 9-point margin.
B. Griner led Connecticut Sun W with 19 points. D. Bonner led Phoenix Mercury W with 21 points.
Before tip-off, our AI model predicted Connecticut Sun W to win 87-81 — the pick missed. The forecast projected 168 total points against 135 actually scored; the full quarter-by-quarter prediction for this game is free to view on this page.
Follow Connecticut Sun W vs Phoenix Mercury W in the NBA W with live scores, a quarter-by-quarter scoreboard, full box score, and team statistics. Basketball Predicts combines real-time data with AI-powered analytics — team form, head-to-head history, and scoring trends — to give you the complete picture of every matchup.
Connecticut Sun W — Players
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 B. GrinerS |
30:51 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 7/12 | 0/0 | 5/7 |
 O. Nelson-OdodaS |
26:06 | 12 | 12 | 3 | 5/9 | 0/0 | 2/4 |
 Lacan LeilaS |
36:42 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 1/8 | 1/1 | 2/2 |
 D. MillerS |
31:14 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2/6 | 0/3 | 2/2 |
 C. Leger-WalkerS |
28:34 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2/5 | 0/3 | 1/1 |
 N. AnglomaB |
12:13 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1/1 | 1/3 | 3/3 |
 Burke KennedyB |
19:40 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0/1 | 2/3 | 0/0 |
 R. BeersB |
04:22 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
 A. EdwardsB |
04:33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
 G. KneepkensB |
02:24 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
 H. Van LithB |
03:21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
Phoenix Mercury W — Players
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 D. BonnerS |
28:37 | 21 | 6 | 0 | 6/10 | 1/3 | 6/8 |
 K. CopperS |
34:48 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 5/12 | 0/2 | 8/8 |
 Makani MoniqueS |
32:11 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4/7 | 1/4 | 0/0 |
 A. ThomasS |
34:12 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 2/9 | 0/0 | 3/6 |
 Brochant NoemieS |
23:09 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2/3 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
 Vukosavljevic ValerianeB |
14:22 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 | 0/4 | 1/1 |
 N. MackB |
19:31 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
 A. HeldB |
13:10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
Season Comparison
Sun W
STAT
Mercury W
7-19
Record
9-18
.269
PCT
.333
7
Position (Eastern Conference / Western Conference)
7
2072
Points For
2237
2228
Points Against
2341
26
Games Played
27
-
Streak
-
80.0
Points Per Game
84.2
85.7
Opp. Points Per Game
88.2
Head to Head
1
0
Jul 18, 2026
Sun W
96 - 83
Mercury W
Sun W Recent
Jul 18
@ Mercury W
96-83
W
Jul 14
vs Fire W
87-90
W
Jul 10
vs Valkyries W
79-64
L
Jul 8
vs Lynx W
86-80
L
Jul 7
@ Lynx W
90-89
W
Mercury W Recent
Jul 18
vs Sun W
96-83
L
Jul 14
@ Lynx W
100-104
L
Jul 11
@ Aces W
58-106
L
Jul 10
vs Fever W
92-89
L
Jul 8
vs Chicago Sky W
77-66
L
