Back to Games Sunday, Jul 26, 2026

San Miguel Beermen vs NLEX Road Warriors Final Score 96-110 — Jul 26, 2026 | Score, Box Score & Stats

Governors Cup Governors Cup

Scoreboard

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 T
Beermen 21 25 25 25 96
Warriors 30 34 26 20 110

AI PREDICTIONNeural Network Forecast

AI

This forecast was generated before tip-off — compare it with the final score above.

Q1Q2Q3Q4 T
Beermen 30282930 117
Warriors 29272929 114
Confidence: 62% Beermen favored
This is a clash of two perfect teams in the Governors Cup. NLEX Road Warriors are 3-0 with an impressive +25 point differential, averaging 116.7 PPG on the back of dominant offensive execution. San Miguel Beermen match that record at 3-0, scoring 116.0 PPG with tighter margins that reflect the quality of competition they've faced. The crucial factor here is recent head-to-head history: SMB has won two of the last three matchups against NLEX, including both meetings in the 2025-26 season (98-94 and 101-94). These were close games, revealing that NLEX's high-octane system faces friction against SMB's balanced, clutch-oriented play. Offensively, both teams operate at comparable efficiency, but NLEX's defense has been more dominant (91.7 OPPG vs SMB's 106.5 OPPG). However, SMB's recent form shows sharper execution in tight contests, which is the pattern we expect here. NLEX will push the tempo and rely on home court, but SMB's calm in close games and proven edge in this matchup tilts the scale slightly toward the visitors. The game figures to be highly competitive, with neither team pulling away decisively; expect a low-to-mid 230s total as both defenses clamp down in crunch time.

Scoring Dynamics

First Half (Q1-Q2) 114P Tight contest, both teams settle into rhythm early
Second Half (Q3-Q4) 117P Beermen pull away late; Road Warriors pressure mounts
Total Points 231 Range 220-245

Matchup Analysis

Warriors

Perfect 3-0 start, dominant wins
Strong home court presence
High-octane offensive system
Vulnerable in close games
Recent head-to-head struggles

Beermen

Head-to-head momentum vs NLEX
Balanced offensive attack
Clutch execution in tight spots
Slightly lower defensive efficiency
Recent opponents narrowly beatable

Risk Factors

Undefeated records create parity pressure
H2H favors SMB by 2-1 in recent tilts

Players to Watch

NLEX offense (team focus) Warriors 116.7 PPG drives pace; must sustain vs SMB defense
San Miguel Beermen clutch unit Beermen 2-0 record in Governors Cup; proven winners in tight margins

Statistical Edges

First to Score Beermen 55%
Hottest Quarter Q1  

Game Preview

NLEX comes out aggressive at home, leveraging their pace advantage to establish a 29-27 lead after the first quarter. Both benches contribute equally, and the Road Warriors' early three-point shooting keeps them in front. In the second quarter, San Miguel's ball movement and defensive pressure force NLEX into mid-range shots; SMB ties it up at the half with a 58-57 scoreline. NLEX refuses to fade and answers strongly in the third, reclaiming a 86-85 lead entering the final frame, with their home crowd roaring. The fourth quarter becomes the decider. SMB's experience in close games shines as they execute pick-and-roll sets with precision, forcing NLEX into defensive fouls. With two minutes left, a crucial SMB bucket edges them ahead 114-112, and NLEX's desperate three-pointer bounces out. SMB clinches the game at 117-114 with late free throws, extending their psychological edge over the Road Warriors and securing a hard-fought 3-1 record. It's the kind of playoff-style battle that defines early-season tournaments.
Both teams undefeated with comparable efficiency metrics, but SMB's 2-1 recent H2H advantage and proven execution in tight games (margins of 4 and 7 points in season) outweigh NLEX's home court and higher scoring volume. Close matchup merits 62% confidence for the underdog.

San Miguel Beermen vs NLEX Road Warriors — Game Recap

NLEX Road Warriors beat San Miguel Beermen 110-96 in Governors Cup play on July 26, 2026.

NLEX Road Warriors led 64-46 at halftime, and they finished the job with a 14-point margin.

Before tip-off, our AI model predicted San Miguel Beermen to win 117-114 — the pick missed. The forecast projected 231 total points against 206 actually scored; the full quarter-by-quarter prediction for this game is free to view on this page.

Follow San Miguel Beermen vs NLEX Road Warriors in the Governors Cup with live scores, a quarter-by-quarter scoreboard, full box score, and team statistics. Basketball Predicts combines real-time data with AI-powered analytics — team form, head-to-head history, and scoring trends — to give you the complete picture of every matchup.

Season Comparison

Beermen
STAT
Warriors
3-0 Record 3-0
1.000 PCT 1.000
2 Position (Group A / Group A) 1
360 Points For 350
335 Points Against 275
3 Games Played 3
- Streak -
120.0 Points Per Game 116.7
111.7 Opp. Points Per Game 91.7

Head to Head

2
Last 3 meetings
1
Apr 19, 2026
Beermen 98 - 94 Warriors
Dec 25, 2025
Beermen 101 - 94 Warriors
Oct 8, 2025
Warriors 85 - 84 Beermen

Beermen Recent

Jul 22 vs FiberXers 122-128 W
Jul 18 @ Dyip 109-104 W
Jul 14 vs Bears 109-123 W
May 15 vs Painters 113-104 L
May 9 @ Fuelmasters 116-104 W

Warriors Recent

Jul 14 vs Risers 100-135 W
Jul 12 vs Dyip 100-101 W
Jul 10 @ Bears 114-75 W
May 16 vs TNT Tropang 5G 118-112 L
May 13 @ TNT Tropang 5G 93-96 L

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