EuroBasket U20

Latvia U20 1-2

Final

83 : 100

Poland U20 2-3

Scoreboard

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Latvia U20	12	23	29	19	83
Poland U20	27	27	24	22	100

AI PREDICTIONNeural Network Forecast

This forecast was generated before tip-off — compare it with the final score above.

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Latvia U20	19	19	20	20	78
Poland U20	17	18	18	19	72

Confidence: 62% Latvia U20 favored

Poland arrives in desperate form at 0-3 in the tournament and 1-5 overall, averaging just 75.8 PPG while conceding 91.0. Latvia, though also struggling at 2-4 overall, holds a 1-2 tournament record and recently crushed Romania 94-60, demonstrating offensive capability. The critical factor is the July 12 head-to-head result: Latvia defeated Poland 77-68 in what proved to be Latvia's best performance of the tournament. Poland's only win this season came against Czech Republic, a mid-tier side, suggesting they compete best against comparable opponents rather than strong teams. Latvia's trio of Sulcs (10.7 PPG), Kilups (10.5 PPG, 3.5 RPG), and Talcis (10.0 PPG, 3.3 RPG) provides balanced scoring and floor control that Poland's depleted roster—lacking top-tier named scorers in the data—struggles to contain. Poland's defensive weaknesses (91 OPPG) and limited offensive consistency make them vulnerable to Latvia's measured, structured approach. Home court offers Poland some advantage, and desperation may fuel a strong effort, but Latvia's recent direct victory and superior balance suggest they edge this contest.

Scoring Dynamics

First Half (Q1-Q2) 73P Tight opening; Latvia defensive pressure limits scoring

Second Half (Q3-Q4) 77P Slight offensive uptick; Poland's desperation offense vs Latvia control

Total Points 150 Range 145-160

Matchup Analysis

Poland U20

Home court advantage

Beat Czech Republic recently

Young talent developing

0-3 tournament record

Weak defensive fundamentals

Inconsistent scoring

Latvia U20

Beat Poland 77-68 on July 12

Sulcs and Kilups versatile scorers

Better recent form vs weaker teams

Lost to Israel and Germany

Struggles vs elite competition

Limited depth at positions

Risk Factors

Poland's desperation at home

Young U20 talent highly variable

Low-scoring defensive tournaments

Players to Watch

R. Sulcs Latvia U20 Latvia's most consistent scorer at 10.7 PPG; controls pace and floor

M. Kilups Latvia U20 Rebounder and secondary scorer; 10.5 PPG, 3.5 RPG in recent games

T. Talcis Latvia U20 Balanced contributor averaging 10 PPG, 3.3 RPG with floor vision

Statistical Edges

First to Score Latvia U20 55%

Hottest Quarter Q4

Game Preview

Poland starts aggressively at home in Q1, using crowd energy to pressure Latvia's ball-handlers, but Sulcs orchestrates a steady response; the quarter ends tight at 17-19 Latvia. Q2 sees Poland maintain parity with improved half-court defense, but Kilups' rebounding and secondary playmaking allow Latvia to control tempo without dramatic offense; halftime arrives at 35-38 Latvia. The third quarter becomes a grinding affair as both teams rely on physical defense and limited turnovers; Talcis enters the rotation to anchor Latvia's effort, and the quarter ends virtually tied at 53-58 Latvia entering the final frame. Q4 features Poland's final push with increased shot volume driven by Sylvestrov's (or other available wings) drives, but Latvia's experience and poise pay dividends; Sulcs closes out with two clutch possessions, and Latvia's 78-72 victory ends Poland's home stand with little consolation.

Latvia's direct victory over Poland just seven days prior on the same tournament, combined with superior balance and recent offensive fluidity against weaker teams, provides clear evidence. However, Poland's home-court desperation and the youth-level volatility of U20 competition prevent higher confidence. Edge to Latvia by 6.

Latvia U20 vs Poland U20 — Game Recap

Poland U20 beat Latvia U20 100-83 in EuroBasket U20 play on July 19, 2026.

Poland U20 led 54-35 at halftime, and they finished the job with a 17-point margin.

Before tip-off, our AI model predicted Latvia U20 to win 78-72 — the pick missed. The forecast projected 150 total points against 183 actually scored; the full quarter-by-quarter prediction for this game is free to view on this page.

Follow Latvia U20 vs Poland U20 in the EuroBasket U20 with live scores, a quarter-by-quarter scoreboard, full box score, and team statistics. Basketball Predicts combines real-time data with AI-powered analytics — team form, head-to-head history, and scoring trends — to give you the complete picture of every matchup.

Season Comparison

Latvia U20

STAT

Poland U20

1-2 Record 0-3

.333 PCT .000

3 Position (Group B / Group B) 4

221 Points For 202

261 Points Against 273

3 Games Played 3

- Streak -

76.8 Points Per Game 75.8

84.2 Opp. Points Per Game 91.0

Head to Head

Last 1 meetings

Jul 12, 2026

Latvia U20 77 - 68 Poland U20

Latvia U20 Recent

Jul 18 vs Israel U20 96-74 L

Jul 16 vs Romania U20 60-94 W

Jul 15 @ Germany U20 72-88 L

Jul 13 @ Serbia U20 66-89 L

Jul 12 @ Poland U20 77-68 W

Poland U20 Recent

Jul 18 vs Lithuania U20 100-84 L

Jul 16 vs U20 83-90 W

Jul 15 @ France U20 79-90 L

Jul 13 @ Lithuania U20 67-112 L

Jul 12 vs Latvia U20 77-68 L

Scoreboard