Puerto Montt vs CD Puerto Varas Final Score 81-86 — Jul 14, 2026

LNB · Gimnasio Fiscal de Puerto Varas

Puerto Montt 0-2

Final

81 : 86

CD Puerto Varas 0-0

Scoreboard

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Puerto Montt	21	21	18	21	81
Varas	20	25	21	20	86

AI PREDICTIONNeural Network Forecast

This forecast was generated before tip-off — compare it with the final score above.

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Puerto Montt	19	18	20	21	78
Varas	21	19	21	21	82

Confidence: 68% Varas favored

CD Puerto Varas enters as the clear favorite on paper: third-place standing in the South group, superior season record (14-10 vs 4-10), home court in Puerto Varas, and a tight defensive profile (79.6 OPPG). The home team has controlled the recent season-series matchup on April 16 with a 86-85 win, though Puerto Montt flipped the script on March 25 with a dominant 102-91 victory. Recent form is mixed for Puerto Varas—they dropped two straight to Español Osorno before winning 87-83—suggesting vulnerability against scrappy opponents. Offensively, Puerto Varas leans heavily on Ocasio Jonathan (19.8 PPG) and M. P. Sanhueza (19.2 PPG, 3.8 APG), a capable one-two punch that Puerto Montt's porous defense (87.1 PPG allowed) cannot consistently contain. However, Puerto Montt brings S. Calderon, who has posted 35.5 PPG in his last two games—a genuine threat if he carries that form. Ferreira's rebounding prowess (9.3 RPG) also poses concerns for a home team relying on smaller lineups. The critical edge is pace and home-court stability. Puerto Varas should dictate tempo, limiting Puerto Montt's chaos-factor offensive explosions. Puerto Montt's 4-8 current record and 87.1 OPPG suggest they are defensively unstable, which favors a structured home offense. The low-scoring lean (under 165) reflects both teams' defensive pressure in direct matchups and the LNB's typically deliberate pace. Puerto Varas' two-point edge in the season series and home-court advantage offset Calderon's upside risk.

Scoring Dynamics

First Half (Q1-Q2) 76P Low-scoring affair; both teams settling in early

Second Half (Q3-Q4) 84P Slight pace uptick; home team momentum builds late

Total Points 160 Range 155-168

Matchup Analysis

Varas

Ocasio Jonathan's scoring punch

Home court advantage in LNB

Defensive discipline under 80 PPG allowed

Inconsistent form vs Osorno lately

Turnover management issues

Puerto Montt

S. Calderon elite scoring threat

Ferreira rebounding presence

Competitive in close games

Severe defensive leakage 87.1 PPG

Struggling record 4-10 this season

Risk Factors

Calderon volatility could spark upset

Puerto Varas form vs Osorno suggests inconsistency

Head-to-head split favors away team

Players to Watch

Ocasio Jonathan Varas Leading scorer at 19.8 PPG; must control tempo and attack

S. Calderon Puerto Montt Explosive 35.5 PPG in last 2 games; biggest wild card

M. P. Sanhueza Varas Secondary scorer; distributes well at 3.8 APG, steadies offense

D. Ferreira Puerto Montt Dominates boards at 9.3 RPG; critical for second chances

Statistical Edges

First to Score Varas 54%

Hottest Quarter Q4

Game Preview

CD Puerto Varas dictates early, with Ocasio Jonathan scoring efficiently in the opening quarter (21 points shared). Puerto Montt stays close but struggles to generate flow; S. Calderon attempts to ignite the offense but the home crowd and Puerto Varas' discipline limit Puerto Montt to 19 points. The first half remains a grinding affair (38-37 Puerto Varas) as both M. P. Sanhueza and D. Ferreira battle for control of the glass and tempo. By halftime, Puerto Varas leads 40-37 after a typically reserved first half for this league. The second half intensifies when Calderon begins to impose will, hitting key shots in Q3 to bring Puerto Montt to within 2 (61-59), but Sanhueza's ball movement and Morris' rebounding anchor Puerto Varas. Puerto Montt cannot sustain the push; their defensive issues resurface as Ocasio and Cleveland exploit gaps, extending the lead to 63-59 heading into Q4. The final quarter sees Puerto Varas preserve a narrow but steady margin. Calderon scores 21 to nearly mount a miraculous finish, and Puerto Montt closes to within 1 with 90 seconds remaining (77-76), but Sanhueza converts crucial free throws and Ocasio's clutch drives seal a 82-78 Puerto Varas victory. The home team's pace control and discipline prevail in a low-scoring, tense LNB South battle.

Puerto Varas' home-court advantage, superior record, and controlled pace edge offset Puerto Montt's explosive scoring potential. The 68% confidence reflects Calderon's volatility, mixed recent form for Puerto Varas, and LNB's unpredictability, but fundamentals favor the home team.

Puerto Montt vs CD Puerto Varas — Game Recap

CD Puerto Varas beat Puerto Montt 86-81 in LNB play on July 14, 2026 at Gimnasio Fiscal de Puerto Varas.

CD Puerto Varas led 45-42 at halftime, and they finished the job with a 5-point margin.

Before tip-off, our AI model predicted CD Puerto Varas to win 82-78 — the pick was correct. The forecast projected 160 total points against 167 actually scored; the full quarter-by-quarter prediction for this game is free to view on this page.

Follow Puerto Montt vs CD Puerto Varas in the LNB with live scores, a quarter-by-quarter scoreboard, full box score, and team statistics. Basketball Predicts combines real-time data with AI-powered analytics — team form, head-to-head history, and scoring trends — to give you the complete picture of every matchup.

Season Comparison

Puerto Montt

STAT

Varas

4-8 Record 7-5

.333 PCT .583

5 Position (South / South) 3

981 Points For 1046

1020 Points Against 1035

12 Games Played 12

- Streak -

79.4 Points Per Game 80.1

87.1 Opp. Points Per Game 79.6

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings

Apr 16, 2026

Puerto Montt 85 - 86 Varas

Mar 25, 2026

Varas 91 - 102 Puerto Montt

Puerto Montt Recent

Jul 12 vs Las Animas 91-84 L

May 10 vs Valdivia 97-75 L

May 7 @ Valdivia 56-103 L

May 4 @ Naviera Ulloa 89-86 W

Apr 30 vs Ancud 90-88 L

Varas Recent

Jun 9 @ Espanol Osorno 55-69 L

Jun 6 vs Espanol Osorno 62-61 L

Jun 5 vs Espanol Osorno 83-87 W

May 30 @ Espanol Osorno 63-60 W

May 29 @ Espanol Osorno 75-81 L

Scoreboard