Puerto Montt

LNB · Gimnasio Fiscal de Puerto Varas

Puerto Montt 0-2

Завершён

81 : 86

CD Puerto Varas 0-0

Табло

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Puerto Montt	21	21	18	21	81
Varas	20	25	21	20	86

AI-ПРОГНОЗПрогноз нейросети

Этот прогноз был сгенерирован до начала матча — сравните его с итоговым счётом выше.

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Puerto Montt	19	18	20	21	78
Varas	21	19	21	21	82

Уверенность: 68% Varas фаворит

CD Puerto Varas enters as the clear favorite on paper: third-place standing in the South group, superior season record (14-10 vs 4-10), home court in Puerto Varas, and a tight defensive profile (79.6 OPPG). The home team has controlled the recent season-series matchup on April 16 with a 86-85 win, though Puerto Montt flipped the script on March 25 with a dominant 102-91 victory. Recent form is mixed for Puerto Varas—they dropped two straight to Español Osorno before winning 87-83—suggesting vulnerability against scrappy opponents. Offensively, Puerto Varas leans heavily on Ocasio Jonathan (19.8 PPG) and M. P. Sanhueza (19.2 PPG, 3.8 APG), a capable one-two punch that Puerto Montt's porous defense (87.1 PPG allowed) cannot consistently contain. However, Puerto Montt brings S. Calderon, who has posted 35.5 PPG in his last two games—a genuine threat if he carries that form. Ferreira's rebounding prowess (9.3 RPG) also poses concerns for a home team relying on smaller lineups. The critical edge is pace and home-court stability. Puerto Varas should dictate tempo, limiting Puerto Montt's chaos-factor offensive explosions. Puerto Montt's 4-8 current record and 87.1 OPPG suggest they are defensively unstable, which favors a structured home offense. The low-scoring lean (under 165) reflects both teams' defensive pressure in direct matchups and the LNB's typically deliberate pace. Puerto Varas' two-point edge in the season series and home-court advantage offset Calderon's upside risk.

Динамика результативности

Первая половина (Q1-Q2) 76P Low-scoring affair; both teams settling in early

Вторая половина (Q3-Q4) 84P Slight pace uptick; home team momentum builds late

Всего очков 160 Диапазон 155-168

Анализ противостояния

Varas

Ocasio Jonathan's scoring punch

Home court advantage in LNB

Defensive discipline under 80 PPG allowed

Inconsistent form vs Osorno lately

Turnover management issues

S. Calderon elite scoring threat

Ferreira rebounding presence

Competitive in close games

Severe defensive leakage 87.1 PPG

Struggling record 4-10 this season

Факторы риска

Calderon volatility could spark upset

Puerto Varas form vs Osorno suggests inconsistency

Head-to-head split favors away team

Игроки, за которыми стоит следить

Ocasio Jonathan Varas Leading scorer at 19.8 PPG; must control tempo and attack

S. Calderon Puerto Montt Explosive 35.5 PPG in last 2 games; biggest wild card

M. P. Sanhueza Varas Secondary scorer; distributes well at 3.8 APG, steadies offense

D. Ferreira Puerto Montt Dominates boards at 9.3 RPG; critical for second chances

Статистические преимущества

Первым наберёт очки Varas 54%

Самая результативная четверть Q4

Превью матча

CD Puerto Varas dictates early, with Ocasio Jonathan scoring efficiently in the opening quarter (21 points shared). Puerto Montt stays close but struggles to generate flow; S. Calderon attempts to ignite the offense but the home crowd and Puerto Varas' discipline limit Puerto Montt to 19 points. The first half remains a grinding affair (38-37 Puerto Varas) as both M. P. Sanhueza and D. Ferreira battle for control of the glass and tempo. By halftime, Puerto Varas leads 40-37 after a typically reserved first half for this league. The second half intensifies when Calderon begins to impose will, hitting key shots in Q3 to bring Puerto Montt to within 2 (61-59), but Sanhueza's ball movement and Morris' rebounding anchor Puerto Varas. Puerto Montt cannot sustain the push; their defensive issues resurface as Ocasio and Cleveland exploit gaps, extending the lead to 63-59 heading into Q4. The final quarter sees Puerto Varas preserve a narrow but steady margin. Calderon scores 21 to nearly mount a miraculous finish, and Puerto Montt closes to within 1 with 90 seconds remaining (77-76), but Sanhueza converts crucial free throws and Ocasio's clutch drives seal a 82-78 Puerto Varas victory. The home team's pace control and discipline prevail in a low-scoring, tense LNB South battle.

Puerto Varas' home-court advantage, superior record, and controlled pace edge offset Puerto Montt's explosive scoring potential. The 68% confidence reflects Calderon's volatility, mixed recent form for Puerto Varas, and LNB's unpredictability, but fundamentals favor the home team.

Puerto Montt — CD Puerto Varas — обзор матча

CD Puerto Varas обыграли Puerto Montt 86-81 в матче LNB July 14, 2026 на арене Gimnasio Fiscal de Puerto Varas.

CD Puerto Varas вели 45-42 к большому перерыву, и они довели дело до конца с преимуществом в 5 очков.

До начала матча наша AI-модель предсказала победу CD Puerto Varas со счётом 82-78 — прогноз оказался верным. Прогноз предполагал 160 суммарных очков против 167 фактически набранных; полный прогноз по четвертям для этого матча можно бесплатно посмотреть на этой странице.

Следите за матчем Puerto Montt — CD Puerto Varas в лиге LNB: счёт в реальном времени, табло по четвертям, полная статистика матча и показатели команд. Basketball Predicts сочетает данные в реальном времени с AI-аналитикой — форма команд, история личных встреч и тенденции результативности — чтобы дать вам полную картину каждого противостояния.

Сравнение по сезону

Puerto Montt

STAT

Varas

4-8 Баланс 7-5

.333 PCT .583

5 Позиция (South / South) 3

981 Набрано очков 1046

1020 Пропущено очков 1035

12 Сыграно матчей 12

- Серия -

79.4 Очков за игру 80.1

87.1 Очков соперника за игру 79.6

Личные встречи

Последние 2 встреч

Апр 16, 2026

Puerto Montt 85 - 86 Varas

Мар 25, 2026

Varas 91 - 102 Puerto Montt

Puerto Montt Недавние

Июл 12 vs Las Animas 91-84 L

Май 10 vs Valdivia 97-75 L

Май 7 @ Valdivia 56-103 L

Май 4 @ Naviera Ulloa 89-86 W

Апр 30 vs Ancud 90-88 L

Varas Недавние

Июн 9 @ Espanol Osorno 55-69 L

Июн 6 vs Espanol Osorno 62-61 L

Июн 5 vs Espanol Osorno 83-87 W

Май 30 @ Espanol Osorno 63-60 W

Май 29 @ Espanol Osorno 75-81 L

Табло