Phoenix Mercury W vs Minnesota Lynx W score final 100-104 — Jul 14, 2026 | Score, box score & stats
NBA W · Target Center
Tableau des scores
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mercury W
|
27 | 22 | 26 | 25 | 100 |
Lynx W
|
21 | 29 | 19 | 35 | 104 |
PRONOSTIC IAPrévision du réseau de neurones
AICette prévision a été générée avant le coup d'envoi — comparez-la au score final ci-dessus.
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Mercury W
|
19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 78 |
|
Lynx W
|
23 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 89 |
Confiance: 78%
Lynx W favori
Minnesota enters as a 7-seed-level team in the Western Conference with a legitimate claim to second-best record (19–6) behind Las Vegas. Their 88.8 PPG on 79.7 allowed represents elite two-way efficiency; they are +9.1 point differential per game. O. Miles (17.7 PPG), Howard Natasha (7.8 RPG, interior defense), McBride Kayla Renae (15.3 PPG), and C. Williams (4.0 APG) form a versatile, defensively disciplined roster. The Lynx's home court at Target Center is historically formidable. Phoenix, by contrast, is spiraling at 9–16 (0.333 win percentage), having lost four of five, including a catastrophic 58–106 blowout to Las Vegas two days ago. While K. Copper leads the Mercury at 20.1 PPG and A. Thomas distributes at 7.9 APG, the team allows 87.3 PPG—fourth-worst in the league—and lacks secondary creation. Head-to-head history strongly favors Minnesota: they won 111–77 on June 2 and 88–84 on May 13, both decisive margins. Minnesota's recent form is mixed (2–3 in last five), but a home game against a depleted opponent is as close to a gimme as the regular season offers. Phoenix's only path is Copper offensive excellence and a tempo-up attack to negate the Lynx's half-court defense. Expect Minnesota to control the pace, feed Howard and Natasha in the post, and suffocate Phoenix's perimeter options. This is a classic money-line favorite without meaningful upset catalyst.
Dynamique du score
1re mi-temps (Q1-Q2)
83P
Lynx control tempo early; Mercury struggles defensively
2e mi-temps (Q3-Q4)
84P
Defensive grind; both teams tighten up in final period
Total de points
167
Fourchette 155-180
Analyse de la confrontation
Lynx W
Elite home court advantage
Strong defensive intensity
Balanced scoring depth
Recent loss to Connecticut
Inconsistent vs top teams
Mercury W
K. Copper scoring prowess
A. Thomas playmaking ability
Nothing to lose mentality
Worst record in West
Struggling defensive metrics
Facteurs de risque
Mercury upset potential
Lynx motivation variance
Joueurs à suivre
O. Miles
Lynx W
Primary scorer; 17.7 PPG drives Lynx offense and versatility
Howard Natasha
Lynx W
Rebounder and interior force; 7.8 RPG controls glass
K. Copper
Mercury W
Mercury's only star; 20.1 PPG but lacks supporting cast
A. Thomas
Mercury W
Distributor; 7.9 APG provides offensive structure for Phoenix
Avantages statistiques
Premier à marquer
Lynx W
65%
Quart-temps le plus prolifique
Q1
Avant-match
Minnesota starts aggressively, establishing early dominance through O. Miles' pick-and-roll game and Howard Natasha's interior rebounding. By the end of Q1, the Lynx lead 23–19, forcing Phoenix into a halfcourt struggle. In the second quarter, K. Copper keeps Phoenix competitive with aggressive shot-making (15–16 points by halftime), but Minnesota's spacing and C. Williams' ball movement create separation. The Lynx reach halftime up 45–38, having controlled tempo and forced Phoenix into defensive rotations they cannot execute. The third quarter is a defensive war: both teams tighten up, and scoring drops. Minnesota maintains a 67–58 lead entering Q4, where neither team breaks 25 points. Despite a late Copper push—he finishes with 22–23 points—A. Thomas' nine assists cannot generate enough volume against the Lynx's suffocating scheme. McBride Kayla Renae's perimeter defense and C. Williams' four assists in the fourth seal the outcome. Minnesota wins 89–78 in a controlled, low-variance performance befitting their talent and Phoenix's poor form.
Minnesota's 19–6 record, elite home court, balanced scoring, and 2–0 head-to-head dominance over a historically poor Phoenix team (9–16, worst record in West, losing 4 of 5) create an overwhelming favorite scenario. Only K. Copper's isolated excellence or a complete Lynx letdown provides upset risk.
Stats des équipes
Mercury W
STAT
Lynx W
| Équipe | FG | FG% | 3P | 3P% | FT | FT% | REB | OREB | DREB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercury W |
24/38 | 63% | 11/25 | 44% | 19/21 | 91% | 26 | - | - | 28 | 5 | - | 14 | - |
| Lynx W |
22/32 | 69% | 12/29 | 41% | 24/26 | 92% | 24 | - | - | 20 | 9 | 4 | 12 | - |
Phoenix Mercury W vs Minnesota Lynx W — Résumé du match
Minnesota Lynx W a battu Phoenix Mercury W 104-100 en NBA W le July 14, 2026 à Target Center.
Minnesota Lynx W menait 50-49 à la mi-temps, et elle a terminé le travail avec un écart de 4 points.
K. Copper a mené Phoenix Mercury W avec 26 points. McBride Kayla Renae a mené Minnesota Lynx W avec 37 points.
Avant le coup d'envoi, notre modèle IA prédisait une victoire de Minnesota Lynx W 89-78 — le pronostic était correct. La prévision projetait 167 points au total contre 204 réellement marqués ; le pronostic complet quart-temps par quart-temps de ce match est consultable gratuitement sur cette page.
Suivez Phoenix Mercury W vs Minnesota Lynx W en NBA W avec les scores en direct, le tableau quart-temps par quart-temps, le box score complet et les statistiques des équipes. Basketball Predicts combine données en temps réel et analyses propulsées par l'IA — forme des équipes, historique des confrontations et tendances de score — pour vous offrir une vision complète de chaque affiche.
Phoenix Mercury W — Joueurs
| Joueur | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 K. CopperS |
32:14 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 6/9 | 3/5 | 5/5 |
 A. ThomasS |
36:33 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 8/14 | 0/0 | 3/4 |
 D. BonnerS |
33:00 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 4/5 | 2/7 | 3/4 |
 Makani MoniqueS |
26:37 | 17 | 1 | 4 | 3/4 | 3/5 | 2/2 |
 Brochant NoemieS |
17:21 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1/1 | 0/2 | 0/0 |
 Whitcomb SamiB |
18:58 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0/0 | 3/4 | 0/0 |
 A. HeldB |
12:20 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1/1 | 0/2 | 2/2 |
 Vukosavljevic ValerianeB |
17:31 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0/3 | 0/0 | 4/4 |
 M. Suarez RodriguezB |
05:26 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
Minnesota Lynx W — Joueurs
| Joueur | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 McBride Kayla RenaeS |
35:01 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 5/6 | 6/11 | 9/9 |
 O. MilesS |
30:44 | 33 | 3 | 8 | 5/8 | 5/8 | 8/9 |
 Howard NatashaS |
34:35 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 5/9 | 0/2 | 3/4 |
 C. WilliamsS |
35:22 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 3/4 | 0/3 | 2/2 |
 N. CoffeyS |
29:55 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1/1 | 1/3 | 0/0 |
 Hamzova EliskaB |
08:55 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3/4 | 0/1 | 2/2 |
 M. CaldwellB |
07:15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0/0 | 0/1 | 0/0 |
 Kosu AnastasiaB |
08:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
 Delaere AntoniaB |
10:13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/0 |
Comparaison de la saison
Mercury W
STAT
Lynx W
8-17
Bilan
18-6
.320
PCT
.750
7
Position (Western Conference / Western Conference)
1
2082
Points marqués
2174
2182
Points encaissés
1961
25
Matchs joués
24
-
Série
-
83.6
Points par match
88.8
87.3
Points encaissés par match
79.7
Confrontations directes
0
2
Jui 2, 2026
Lynx W
111 - 77
Mercury W
Mai 13, 2026
Lynx W
88 - 84
Mercury W
Mercury W Forme récente
Jul 11
@ Aces W
58-106
L
Jul 10
vs Fever W
92-89
L
Jul 8
vs Chicago Sky W
77-66
L
Jul 3
vs Storm W
67-90
W
Jui 27
@ Tempo W
89-80
W
Lynx W Forme récente
Jul 11
vs Liberty W
85-90
W
Jul 8
@ Sun W
86-80
W
Jul 7
vs Sun W
90-89
L
Jul 3
@ Liberty W
86-99
L
Jui 28
@ Dallas Wings W
85-77
W
