Phoenix Mercury W x Minnesota Lynx W Placar Final 100-104 — Jul 14, 2026 | Placar, Box Score e Estatísticas

Minnesota enters as a 7-seed-level team in the Western Conference with a legitimate claim to second-best record (19–6) behind Las Vegas. Their 88.8 PPG on 79.7 allowed represents elite two-way efficiency; they are +9.1 point differential per game. O. Miles (17.7 PPG), Howard Natasha (7.8 RPG, interior defense), McBride Kayla Renae (15.3 PPG), and C. Williams (4.0 APG) form a versatile, defensively disciplined roster. The Lynx's home court at Target Center is historically formidable. Phoenix, by contrast, is spiraling at 9–16 (0.333 win percentage), having lost four of five, including a catastrophic 58–106 blowout to Las Vegas two days ago. While K. Copper leads the Mercury at 20.1 PPG and A. Thomas distributes at 7.9 APG, the team allows 87.3 PPG—fourth-worst in the league—and lacks secondary creation. Head-to-head history strongly favors Minnesota: they won 111–77 on June 2 and 88–84 on May 13, both decisive margins. Minnesota's recent form is mixed (2–3 in last five), but a home game against a depleted opponent is as close to a gimme as the regular season offers. Phoenix's only path is Copper offensive excellence and a tempo-up attack to negate the Lynx's half-court defense. Expect Minnesota to control the pace, feed Howard and Natasha in the post, and suffocate Phoenix's perimeter options. This is a classic money-line favorite without meaningful upset catalyst.