NBL · Pettigrew Green Arena

Wellington Saints 13-5

Beendet

107 : 82

Bay Hawks 3-16

Spielstand

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	42	16	25	24	107
Bay Hawks	20	23	12	27	82

KI-PROGNOSEPrognose des neuronalen Netzes

Diese Prognose wurde vor dem Tip-off erstellt — vergleichen Sie sie mit dem Endstand oben.

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	26	27	26	26	105
Bay Hawks	19	20	21	22	82

Sicherheit: 88% Saints favorisiert

This matchup pits the NBL's worst team (Bay Hawks, 3-16, 86.4 ppg) against one of its best (Wellington Saints, 13-5, 99.0 ppg). Bay Hawks are in free fall, losing five consecutive games with defensive collapses—most recently a 62-103 hammering at Southland. Their -10.9 point differential reflects systemic issues on both ends. Wellington, meanwhile, is a top-4 team driven by elite scoring: E. Pepper averages 29.2 ppg, supported by Aliir's two-way presence and Carlin's playmaking. Although Wellington dropped to Canterbury last week, their 88-98 loss shows they can be vulnerable; however, that was away from home. The May 25 head-to-head (Wellington 107, Bay Hawks 79) illustrates the talent and defensive gulf. Bay Hawks have J. Ball (20.5 ppg in recent games) and Rasmussen's facilitation, but neither player is equipped to contain Pepper or keep pace with Wellington's balanced attack. Wellington's pace advantage and superior offensive efficiency should dominate a taxed Bay Hawks defense that yields 97.3 ppg. Home court offers minimal mitigation when one team is 3-16 and the other is 13-5 with clear talent separation.

Punkte-Dynamik

1. Halbzeit (Q1-Q2) 92P Saints establish early dominance; Hawks struggle to keep pace

2. Halbzeit (Q3-Q4) 95P Wellington maintains control; Bay Hawks chip away late

Gesamtpunkte 187 Spanne 180-195

Matchup-Analyse

Bay Hawks

J. Ball scoring punch

Rasmussen playmaking and balance

Grida Daniel rebounding edge

Worst record in league

Severe defensive vulnerability

Saints

E. Pepper elite scoring (29 ppg)

Strong defensive rating (90.3 opp ppg)

Balanced offensive attack

Recent loss to Canterbury Rams

Inconsistent form last five games

Risikofaktoren

Bay Hawks home court momentum shift

Wellington's recent inconsistency (1 loss in last 5)

Head-to-head blowout precedent (107-79)

Spieler im Fokus

E. Pepper Saints Elite scorer at 29.2 ppg; will dominate Hawks' weak perimeter defense

J. Ball Bay Hawks Bay Hawks' only consistent offensive threat; needs 20+ to keep competitive

A. Aliir Saints Defensive anchor; critical to slowing Ball and protecting the paint

K. Rasmussen Bay Hawks Ball distributor; must generate efficient offense in limited minutes

Statistische Vorteile

Erste Punkte Saints 72%

Stärkstes Viertel Q2

Spielvorschau

Wellington establishes control early, with E. Pepper immediately asserting dominance against the Bay Hawks' porous perimeter defense. By the end of Q1, Pepper and the Saints' balanced offensive movement force a 26-19 lead. In Q2, J. Ball keeps Bay Hawks scrappy with mid-range success, but Wellington's paint presence and Aliir's rim protection prove too much; the Saints extend to a 53-39 halftime advantage. The second half sees Bay Hawks mount modest resistance as K. Rasmussen and Grida Daniel generate some interior activity, closing the gap briefly in Q3 to within 13 points. However, Wellington's depth—including bench contributions from Ingram and Hunt Jordan—ensures no genuine run gains traction. Pepper finishes with a dominant 32-point night, and Wellington cruises to a comfortable 105-82 victory, reinforcing their top-four standing while Bay Hawks sink further toward the basement.

Wellington's 13-5 record, elite offense, and dominant head-to-head precedent (28-point win) far outweigh Bay Hawks' home court. Bay Hawks' 3-16 record and worst defensive rating in league ensure a blowout. Only injury to Pepper would shift confidence below 85%.

Wellington Saints vs Bay Hawks — Spielbericht

Wellington Saints besiegten Bay Hawks mit 107-82 (NBL) am July 23, 2026 (Spielort: Pettigrew Green Arena).

Wellington Saints führten zur Halbzeit mit 58-43, und sie machten den Sieg mit 25 Punkten Vorsprung perfekt.

Vor dem Tip-off sagte unser KI-Modell einen Sieg von Wellington Saints mit 105-82 voraus — der Pick war richtig. Die Prognose rechnete mit 187 Gesamtpunkten gegenüber 189 tatsächlich erzielten; die vollständige Viertel-für-Viertel-Prognose zu diesem Spiel ist auf dieser Seite kostenlos einsehbar.

Verfolgen Sie Wellington Saints vs Bay Hawks in der NBL mit Live-Ergebnissen, einem Viertel-für-Viertel-Scoreboard, vollständigem Box Score und Team-Statistiken. Basketball Predicts kombiniert Echtzeitdaten mit KI-gestützten Analysen — Teamform, direkter Vergleich und Scoring-Trends — für das komplette Bild zu jedem Matchup.

Saisonvergleich

Saints

STAT

Bay Hawks

13-5 Bilanz 3-16

.722 PCT .158

4 Platzierung 11

1782 Erzielte Punkte 1641

1626 Zugelassene Punkte 1848

18 Absolvierte Spiele 19

- Serie -

99.0 Punkte pro Spiel 86.4

90.3 Gegn. Punkte pro Spiel 97.3

Direkter Vergleich

Letzte 1 Duelle

Mai 25, 2026

Bay Hawks 79 - 107 Saints

Saints Zuletzt

Jul 18 vs Tauranga Whai 95-107 W

Jul 12 vs Rams 98-88 L

Jul 10 @ Tauranga Whai 109-95 W

Jul 4 @ Otago Nuggets 91-90 W

Jun 27 vs Nelson Giants 109-111 W

Bay Hawks Zuletzt

Jul 18 @ Sharks 62-103 L

Jul 16 @ Otago Nuggets 79-92 L

Jul 11 @ Manawatu Jets 88-97 L

Jul 2 vs Taranaki Airs 96-74 L

Jun 28 @ Rams 77-93 L

Spielstand