NBL · Pettigrew Green Arena

Wellington Saints 13-5

Završeno

107 : 82

Bay Hawks 3-16

Semafor

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	42	16	25	24	107
Bay Hawks	20	23	12	27	82

AI PROGNOZAPrognoza neuronske mreže

Ova je prognoza izrađena prije početka utakmice — usporedite je s konačnim rezultatom iznad.

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	26	27	26	26	105
Bay Hawks	19	20	21	22	82

Pouzdanost: 88% Saints favorit

This matchup pits the NBL's worst team (Bay Hawks, 3-16, 86.4 ppg) against one of its best (Wellington Saints, 13-5, 99.0 ppg). Bay Hawks are in free fall, losing five consecutive games with defensive collapses—most recently a 62-103 hammering at Southland. Their -10.9 point differential reflects systemic issues on both ends. Wellington, meanwhile, is a top-4 team driven by elite scoring: E. Pepper averages 29.2 ppg, supported by Aliir's two-way presence and Carlin's playmaking. Although Wellington dropped to Canterbury last week, their 88-98 loss shows they can be vulnerable; however, that was away from home. The May 25 head-to-head (Wellington 107, Bay Hawks 79) illustrates the talent and defensive gulf. Bay Hawks have J. Ball (20.5 ppg in recent games) and Rasmussen's facilitation, but neither player is equipped to contain Pepper or keep pace with Wellington's balanced attack. Wellington's pace advantage and superior offensive efficiency should dominate a taxed Bay Hawks defense that yields 97.3 ppg. Home court offers minimal mitigation when one team is 3-16 and the other is 13-5 with clear talent separation.

Dinamika rezultata

Prvo poluvrijeme (Q1-Q2) 92P Saints establish early dominance; Hawks struggle to keep pace

Drugo poluvrijeme (Q3-Q4) 95P Wellington maintains control; Bay Hawks chip away late

Ukupno poena 187 Raspon 180-195

Analiza dvoboja

Bay Hawks

J. Ball scoring punch

Rasmussen playmaking and balance

Grida Daniel rebounding edge

Worst record in league

Severe defensive vulnerability

Saints

E. Pepper elite scoring (29 ppg)

Strong defensive rating (90.3 opp ppg)

Balanced offensive attack

Recent loss to Canterbury Rams

Inconsistent form last five games

Faktori rizika

Bay Hawks home court momentum shift

Wellington's recent inconsistency (1 loss in last 5)

Head-to-head blowout precedent (107-79)

Igrači koje treba pratiti

E. Pepper Saints Elite scorer at 29.2 ppg; will dominate Hawks' weak perimeter defense

J. Ball Bay Hawks Bay Hawks' only consistent offensive threat; needs 20+ to keep competitive

A. Aliir Saints Defensive anchor; critical to slowing Ball and protecting the paint

K. Rasmussen Bay Hawks Ball distributor; must generate efficient offense in limited minutes

Statističke prednosti

Prvi koš Saints 72%

Najvruća četvrtina Q2

Najava utakmice

Wellington establishes control early, with E. Pepper immediately asserting dominance against the Bay Hawks' porous perimeter defense. By the end of Q1, Pepper and the Saints' balanced offensive movement force a 26-19 lead. In Q2, J. Ball keeps Bay Hawks scrappy with mid-range success, but Wellington's paint presence and Aliir's rim protection prove too much; the Saints extend to a 53-39 halftime advantage. The second half sees Bay Hawks mount modest resistance as K. Rasmussen and Grida Daniel generate some interior activity, closing the gap briefly in Q3 to within 13 points. However, Wellington's depth—including bench contributions from Ingram and Hunt Jordan—ensures no genuine run gains traction. Pepper finishes with a dominant 32-point night, and Wellington cruises to a comfortable 105-82 victory, reinforcing their top-four standing while Bay Hawks sink further toward the basement.

Wellington's 13-5 record, elite offense, and dominant head-to-head precedent (28-point win) far outweigh Bay Hawks' home court. Bay Hawks' 3-16 record and worst defensive rating in league ensure a blowout. Only injury to Pepper would shift confidence below 85%.

Wellington Saints vs Bay Hawks — sažetak utakmice

Wellington Saints je svladao Bay Hawks rezultatom 107-82 u natjecanju NBL dana July 23, 2026 u dvorani Pettigrew Green Arena.

Wellington Saints je vodio 58-43 na poluvremenu, i oni je dovršio posao s 25 poena razlike.

Prije početka utakmice naš je AI model predvidio pobjedu Wellington Saints rezultatom 105-82 — tip je bio točan. Prognoza je projicirala 187 ukupnih poena naspram 189 stvarno postignutih; potpuna prognoza po četvrtinama za ovu utakmicu besplatno je dostupna na ovoj stranici.

Pratite Wellington Saints vs Bay Hawks u natjecanju NBL uz rezultate uživo, semafor po četvrtinama, potpuni box score i statistiku momčadi. Basketball Predicts kombinira podatke u stvarnom vremenu s AI analitikom — formom momčadi, poviješću međusobnih susreta i trendovima postizanja koševa — kako biste dobili potpunu sliku svakog dvoboja.

Usporedba sezone

Saints

STAT

Bay Hawks

13-5 Omjer 3-16

.722 PCT .158

4 Plasman 11

1782 Postignuti poeni 1641

1626 Primljeni poeni 1848

18 Odigrane utakmice 19

- Niz -

99.0 Poena po utakmici 86.4

90.3 Primljenih poena po utakmici 97.3

Međusobni susreti

Posljednjih 1 susreta

Svi 25, 2026

Bay Hawks 79 - 107 Saints

Saints Zadnje utakmice

Srp 18 vs Tauranga Whai 95-107 W

Srp 12 vs Rams 98-88 L

Srp 10 @ Tauranga Whai 109-95 W

Srp 4 @ Otago Nuggets 91-90 W

Lip 27 vs Nelson Giants 109-111 W

Bay Hawks Zadnje utakmice

Srp 18 @ Sharks 62-103 L

Srp 16 @ Otago Nuggets 79-92 L

Srp 11 @ Manawatu Jets 88-97 L

Srp 2 vs Taranaki Airs 96-74 L

Lip 28 @ Rams 77-93 L

Semafor