NBL · Pettigrew Green Arena

Wellington Saints 13-5

Baigėsi

107 : 82

Bay Hawks 3-16

Švieslentė

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	42	16	25	24	107
Bay Hawks	20	23	12	27	82

DI PROGNOZĖNeuroninio tinklo prognozė

Ši prognozė sugeneruota prieš rungtynių pradžią — palyginkite ją su galutiniu rezultatu viršuje.

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	26	27	26	26	105
Bay Hawks	19	20	21	22	82

Patikimumas: 88% Saints favoritė

This matchup pits the NBL's worst team (Bay Hawks, 3-16, 86.4 ppg) against one of its best (Wellington Saints, 13-5, 99.0 ppg). Bay Hawks are in free fall, losing five consecutive games with defensive collapses—most recently a 62-103 hammering at Southland. Their -10.9 point differential reflects systemic issues on both ends. Wellington, meanwhile, is a top-4 team driven by elite scoring: E. Pepper averages 29.2 ppg, supported by Aliir's two-way presence and Carlin's playmaking. Although Wellington dropped to Canterbury last week, their 88-98 loss shows they can be vulnerable; however, that was away from home. The May 25 head-to-head (Wellington 107, Bay Hawks 79) illustrates the talent and defensive gulf. Bay Hawks have J. Ball (20.5 ppg in recent games) and Rasmussen's facilitation, but neither player is equipped to contain Pepper or keep pace with Wellington's balanced attack. Wellington's pace advantage and superior offensive efficiency should dominate a taxed Bay Hawks defense that yields 97.3 ppg. Home court offers minimal mitigation when one team is 3-16 and the other is 13-5 with clear talent separation.

Rezultatyvumo dinamika

Pirmoji pusė (Q1-Q2) 92P Saints establish early dominance; Hawks struggle to keep pace

Antroji pusė (Q3-Q4) 95P Wellington maintains control; Bay Hawks chip away late

Iš viso taškų 187 Intervalas 180-195

Dvikovos analizė

Bay Hawks

J. Ball scoring punch

Rasmussen playmaking and balance

Grida Daniel rebounding edge

Worst record in league

Severe defensive vulnerability

Saints

E. Pepper elite scoring (29 ppg)

Strong defensive rating (90.3 opp ppg)

Balanced offensive attack

Recent loss to Canterbury Rams

Inconsistent form last five games

Rizikos veiksniai

Bay Hawks home court momentum shift

Wellington's recent inconsistency (1 loss in last 5)

Head-to-head blowout precedent (107-79)

Verti dėmesio žaidėjai

E. Pepper Saints Elite scorer at 29.2 ppg; will dominate Hawks' weak perimeter defense

J. Ball Bay Hawks Bay Hawks' only consistent offensive threat; needs 20+ to keep competitive

A. Aliir Saints Defensive anchor; critical to slowing Ball and protecting the paint

K. Rasmussen Bay Hawks Ball distributor; must generate efficient offense in limited minutes

Statistiniai pranašumai

Pirmieji pelnys taškus Saints 72%

Karščiausias kėlinys Q2

Rungtynių apžvalga

Wellington establishes control early, with E. Pepper immediately asserting dominance against the Bay Hawks' porous perimeter defense. By the end of Q1, Pepper and the Saints' balanced offensive movement force a 26-19 lead. In Q2, J. Ball keeps Bay Hawks scrappy with mid-range success, but Wellington's paint presence and Aliir's rim protection prove too much; the Saints extend to a 53-39 halftime advantage. The second half sees Bay Hawks mount modest resistance as K. Rasmussen and Grida Daniel generate some interior activity, closing the gap briefly in Q3 to within 13 points. However, Wellington's depth—including bench contributions from Ingram and Hunt Jordan—ensures no genuine run gains traction. Pepper finishes with a dominant 32-point night, and Wellington cruises to a comfortable 105-82 victory, reinforcing their top-four standing while Bay Hawks sink further toward the basement.

Wellington's 13-5 record, elite offense, and dominant head-to-head precedent (28-point win) far outweigh Bay Hawks' home court. Bay Hawks' 3-16 record and worst defensive rating in league ensure a blowout. Only injury to Pepper would shift confidence below 85%.

Wellington Saints prieš Bay Hawks — rungtynių apžvalga

Wellington Saints nugalėjo Bay Hawks 107-82 NBL rungtynėse July 23, 2026 (Pettigrew Green Arena).

Wellington Saints po pirmosios pusės pirmavo 58-43, ir jie pergalę įtvirtino 25 taškų skirtumu.

Prieš rungtynių pradžią mūsų DI modelis prognozavo Wellington Saints pergalę 105-82 — spėjimas pasitvirtino. Prognozėje numatyta 187 taškų suma, o realiai pelnyta 189; visą šių rungtynių prognozę kėlinys po kėlinio šiame puslapyje galima peržiūrėti nemokamai.

Sekite Wellington Saints prieš Bay Hawks NBL lygoje: rezultatai gyvai, švieslentė kėlinys po kėlinio, pilnas protokolas ir komandų statistika. Basketball Predicts derina realaus laiko duomenis su DI analitika — komandų forma, tarpusavio rungtynių istorija ir rezultatyvumo tendencijomis — kad matytumėte pilną kiekvienos dvikovos vaizdą.

Sezono palyginimas

Saints

STAT

Bay Hawks

13-5 Balansas 3-16

.722 PCT .158

4 Vieta 11

1782 Pelnyti taškai 1641

1626 Praleisti taškai 1848

18 Sužaistos rungtynės 19

- Serija -

99.0 Taškai per rungtynes 86.4

90.3 Praleidžiami taškai per rungtynes 97.3

Tarpusavio rungtynės

Paskutinės 1 tarpusavio rungtynės

Geg 25, 2026

Bay Hawks 79 - 107 Saints

Saints Pastarosios

Lie 18 vs Tauranga Whai 95-107 W

Lie 12 vs Rams 98-88 L

Lie 10 @ Tauranga Whai 109-95 W

Lie 4 @ Otago Nuggets 91-90 W

Bir 27 vs Nelson Giants 109-111 W

Bay Hawks Pastarosios

Lie 18 @ Sharks 62-103 L

Lie 16 @ Otago Nuggets 79-92 L

Lie 11 @ Manawatu Jets 88-97 L

Lie 2 vs Taranaki Airs 96-74 L

Bir 28 @ Rams 77-93 L

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