NBL · Pettigrew Green Arena

Wellington Saints 13-5

Final

107 : 82

Bay Hawks 3-16

Scoreboard

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	42	16	25	24	107
Bay Hawks	20	23	12	27	82

AI PREDIKSYONForecast ng Neural Network

Ginawa ang forecast na ito bago ang tip-off — ikumpara ito sa final score sa itaas.

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	26	27	26	26	105
Bay Hawks	19	20	21	22	82

Kumpiyansa: 88% Saints paborito

This matchup pits the NBL's worst team (Bay Hawks, 3-16, 86.4 ppg) against one of its best (Wellington Saints, 13-5, 99.0 ppg). Bay Hawks are in free fall, losing five consecutive games with defensive collapses—most recently a 62-103 hammering at Southland. Their -10.9 point differential reflects systemic issues on both ends. Wellington, meanwhile, is a top-4 team driven by elite scoring: E. Pepper averages 29.2 ppg, supported by Aliir's two-way presence and Carlin's playmaking. Although Wellington dropped to Canterbury last week, their 88-98 loss shows they can be vulnerable; however, that was away from home. The May 25 head-to-head (Wellington 107, Bay Hawks 79) illustrates the talent and defensive gulf. Bay Hawks have J. Ball (20.5 ppg in recent games) and Rasmussen's facilitation, but neither player is equipped to contain Pepper or keep pace with Wellington's balanced attack. Wellington's pace advantage and superior offensive efficiency should dominate a taxed Bay Hawks defense that yields 97.3 ppg. Home court offers minimal mitigation when one team is 3-16 and the other is 13-5 with clear talent separation.

Dinamika ng Scoring

Unang Half (Q1-Q2) 92P Saints establish early dominance; Hawks struggle to keep pace

Ikalawang Half (Q3-Q4) 95P Wellington maintains control; Bay Hawks chip away late

Kabuuang Puntos 187 Saklaw 180-195

Pagsusuri ng Matchup

Bay Hawks

J. Ball scoring punch

Rasmussen playmaking and balance

Grida Daniel rebounding edge

Worst record in league

Severe defensive vulnerability

Saints

E. Pepper elite scoring (29 ppg)

Strong defensive rating (90.3 opp ppg)

Balanced offensive attack

Recent loss to Canterbury Rams

Inconsistent form last five games

Mga Risk Factor

Bay Hawks home court momentum shift

Wellington's recent inconsistency (1 loss in last 5)

Head-to-head blowout precedent (107-79)

Mga Player na Dapat Bantayan

E. Pepper Saints Elite scorer at 29.2 ppg; will dominate Hawks' weak perimeter defense

J. Ball Bay Hawks Bay Hawks' only consistent offensive threat; needs 20+ to keep competitive

A. Aliir Saints Defensive anchor; critical to slowing Ball and protecting the paint

K. Rasmussen Bay Hawks Ball distributor; must generate efficient offense in limited minutes

Mga Statistical Edge

Unang Maka-iskor Saints 72%

Pinakamainit na Quarter Q2

Preview ng Laro

Wellington establishes control early, with E. Pepper immediately asserting dominance against the Bay Hawks' porous perimeter defense. By the end of Q1, Pepper and the Saints' balanced offensive movement force a 26-19 lead. In Q2, J. Ball keeps Bay Hawks scrappy with mid-range success, but Wellington's paint presence and Aliir's rim protection prove too much; the Saints extend to a 53-39 halftime advantage. The second half sees Bay Hawks mount modest resistance as K. Rasmussen and Grida Daniel generate some interior activity, closing the gap briefly in Q3 to within 13 points. However, Wellington's depth—including bench contributions from Ingram and Hunt Jordan—ensures no genuine run gains traction. Pepper finishes with a dominant 32-point night, and Wellington cruises to a comfortable 105-82 victory, reinforcing their top-four standing while Bay Hawks sink further toward the basement.

Wellington's 13-5 record, elite offense, and dominant head-to-head precedent (28-point win) far outweigh Bay Hawks' home court. Bay Hawks' 3-16 record and worst defensive rating in league ensure a blowout. Only injury to Pepper would shift confidence below 85%.

Wellington Saints vs Bay Hawks — Game Recap

Tinalo ng Wellington Saints ang Bay Hawks 107-82 sa laban ng NBL noong July 23, 2026 sa Pettigrew Green Arena.

Nangunguna ang Wellington Saints 58-43 sa halftime, at Tinapos ng sila ang trabaho nang may lamang na 25 puntos.

Bago ang tip-off, hinulaan ng aming AI model na mananalo ang Wellington Saints 105-82 — tama ang pick. Nagproyekta ang forecast ng 187 kabuuang puntos laban sa 189 na aktwal na naitala; libreng tingnan sa page na ito ang buong quarter-by-quarter na prediksyon para sa larong ito.

Sundan ang Wellington Saints vs Bay Hawks sa NBL gamit ang live scores, quarter-by-quarter na scoreboard, buong box score, at team statistics. Pinagsasama ng Basketball Predicts ang real-time na data at AI-powered na analytics — team form, head-to-head history, at scoring trends — para ibigay sa iyo ang kumpletong larawan ng bawat matchup.

Paghahambing ng Season

Saints

STAT

Bay Hawks

13-5 Record 3-16

.722 PCT .158

4 Posisyon 11

1782 Nagawang Puntos 1641

1626 Puntos ng Kalaban 1848

18 Mga Larong Nilaro 19

- Streak -

99.0 Puntos Bawat Laro 86.4

90.3 Puntos ng Kalaban Bawat Laro 97.3

Head to Head

Huling 1 pagtatagpo

May 25, 2026

Bay Hawks 79 - 107 Saints

Saints Kamakailan

Jul 18 vs Tauranga Whai 95-107 W

Jul 12 vs Rams 98-88 L

Jul 10 @ Tauranga Whai 109-95 W

Jul 4 @ Otago Nuggets 91-90 W

Jun 27 vs Nelson Giants 109-111 W

Bay Hawks Kamakailan

Jul 18 @ Sharks 62-103 L

Jul 16 @ Otago Nuggets 79-92 L

Jul 11 @ Manawatu Jets 88-97 L

Jul 2 vs Taranaki Airs 96-74 L

Jun 28 @ Rams 77-93 L

Scoreboard