NBL · Pettigrew Green Arena

Wellington Saints 13-5

Final

107 : 82

Bay Hawks 3-16

Marcador

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	42	16	25	24	107
Bay Hawks	20	23	12	27	82

PRONÓSTICO IAPronóstico de red neuronal

Este pronóstico se generó antes del salto inicial — compáralo con el resultado final de arriba.

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	26	27	26	26	105
Bay Hawks	19	20	21	22	82

Confianza: 88% Saints favorito

This matchup pits the NBL's worst team (Bay Hawks, 3-16, 86.4 ppg) against one of its best (Wellington Saints, 13-5, 99.0 ppg). Bay Hawks are in free fall, losing five consecutive games with defensive collapses—most recently a 62-103 hammering at Southland. Their -10.9 point differential reflects systemic issues on both ends. Wellington, meanwhile, is a top-4 team driven by elite scoring: E. Pepper averages 29.2 ppg, supported by Aliir's two-way presence and Carlin's playmaking. Although Wellington dropped to Canterbury last week, their 88-98 loss shows they can be vulnerable; however, that was away from home. The May 25 head-to-head (Wellington 107, Bay Hawks 79) illustrates the talent and defensive gulf. Bay Hawks have J. Ball (20.5 ppg in recent games) and Rasmussen's facilitation, but neither player is equipped to contain Pepper or keep pace with Wellington's balanced attack. Wellington's pace advantage and superior offensive efficiency should dominate a taxed Bay Hawks defense that yields 97.3 ppg. Home court offers minimal mitigation when one team is 3-16 and the other is 13-5 with clear talent separation.

Dinámica de anotación

Primera mitad (Q1-Q2) 92P Saints establish early dominance; Hawks struggle to keep pace

Segunda mitad (Q3-Q4) 95P Wellington maintains control; Bay Hawks chip away late

Puntos totales 187 Rango 180-195

Análisis del enfrentamiento

Bay Hawks

J. Ball scoring punch

Rasmussen playmaking and balance

Grida Daniel rebounding edge

Worst record in league

Severe defensive vulnerability

Saints

E. Pepper elite scoring (29 ppg)

Strong defensive rating (90.3 opp ppg)

Balanced offensive attack

Recent loss to Canterbury Rams

Inconsistent form last five games

Factores de riesgo

Bay Hawks home court momentum shift

Wellington's recent inconsistency (1 loss in last 5)

Head-to-head blowout precedent (107-79)

Jugadores a seguir

E. Pepper Saints Elite scorer at 29.2 ppg; will dominate Hawks' weak perimeter defense

J. Ball Bay Hawks Bay Hawks' only consistent offensive threat; needs 20+ to keep competitive

A. Aliir Saints Defensive anchor; critical to slowing Ball and protecting the paint

K. Rasmussen Bay Hawks Ball distributor; must generate efficient offense in limited minutes

Ventajas estadísticas

Primero en anotar Saints 72%

Cuarto más anotador Q2

Previa del partido

Wellington establishes control early, with E. Pepper immediately asserting dominance against the Bay Hawks' porous perimeter defense. By the end of Q1, Pepper and the Saints' balanced offensive movement force a 26-19 lead. In Q2, J. Ball keeps Bay Hawks scrappy with mid-range success, but Wellington's paint presence and Aliir's rim protection prove too much; the Saints extend to a 53-39 halftime advantage. The second half sees Bay Hawks mount modest resistance as K. Rasmussen and Grida Daniel generate some interior activity, closing the gap briefly in Q3 to within 13 points. However, Wellington's depth—including bench contributions from Ingram and Hunt Jordan—ensures no genuine run gains traction. Pepper finishes with a dominant 32-point night, and Wellington cruises to a comfortable 105-82 victory, reinforcing their top-four standing while Bay Hawks sink further toward the basement.

Wellington's 13-5 record, elite offense, and dominant head-to-head precedent (28-point win) far outweigh Bay Hawks' home court. Bay Hawks' 3-16 record and worst defensive rating in league ensure a blowout. Only injury to Pepper would shift confidence below 85%.

Wellington Saints vs Bay Hawks — Resumen del partido

Wellington Saints venció a Bay Hawks 107-82 en la NBL el July 23, 2026 en Pettigrew Green Arena.

Wellington Saints ganaba 58-43 al descanso, y ellos remató el trabajo con un margen de 25 puntos.

Antes del salto inicial, nuestro modelo de IA predijo la victoria de Wellington Saints por 105-82 — el pick fue acertado. El pronóstico proyectaba 187 puntos totales frente a los 189 realmente anotados; la predicción completa cuarto a cuarto de este partido se puede ver gratis en esta página.

Sigue el Wellington Saints vs Bay Hawks de la NBL con marcadores en vivo, marcador cuarto a cuarto, box score completo y estadísticas de equipo. Basketball Predicts combina datos en tiempo real con analítica impulsada por IA — forma de los equipos, historial de enfrentamientos directos y tendencias de anotación — para darte la imagen completa de cada enfrentamiento.

Comparativa de temporada

Saints

STAT

Bay Hawks

13-5 Balance 3-16

.722 PCT .158

4 Posición 11

1782 Puntos a favor 1641

1626 Puntos en contra 1848

18 Partidos jugados 19

- Racha -

99.0 Puntos por partido 86.4

90.3 Puntos del rival por partido 97.3

Cara a cara

Últimos 1 enfrentamientos

May 25, 2026

Bay Hawks 79 - 107 Saints

Saints Recientes

Jul 18 vs Tauranga Whai 95-107 W

Jul 12 vs Rams 98-88 L

Jul 10 @ Tauranga Whai 109-95 W

Jul 4 @ Otago Nuggets 91-90 W

Jun 27 vs Nelson Giants 109-111 W

Bay Hawks Recientes

Jul 18 @ Sharks 62-103 L

Jul 16 @ Otago Nuggets 79-92 L

Jul 11 @ Manawatu Jets 88-97 L

Jul 2 vs Taranaki Airs 96-74 L

Jun 28 @ Rams 77-93 L

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