NBL · Pettigrew Green Arena

Wellington Saints 13-5

Завершён

107 : 82

Bay Hawks 3-16

Табло

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	42	16	25	24	107
Bay Hawks	20	23	12	27	82

AI-ПРОГНОЗПрогноз нейросети

Этот прогноз был сгенерирован до начала матча — сравните его с итоговым счётом выше.

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	26	27	26	26	105
Bay Hawks	19	20	21	22	82

Уверенность: 88% Saints фаворит

This matchup pits the NBL's worst team (Bay Hawks, 3-16, 86.4 ppg) against one of its best (Wellington Saints, 13-5, 99.0 ppg). Bay Hawks are in free fall, losing five consecutive games with defensive collapses—most recently a 62-103 hammering at Southland. Their -10.9 point differential reflects systemic issues on both ends. Wellington, meanwhile, is a top-4 team driven by elite scoring: E. Pepper averages 29.2 ppg, supported by Aliir's two-way presence and Carlin's playmaking. Although Wellington dropped to Canterbury last week, their 88-98 loss shows they can be vulnerable; however, that was away from home. The May 25 head-to-head (Wellington 107, Bay Hawks 79) illustrates the talent and defensive gulf. Bay Hawks have J. Ball (20.5 ppg in recent games) and Rasmussen's facilitation, but neither player is equipped to contain Pepper or keep pace with Wellington's balanced attack. Wellington's pace advantage and superior offensive efficiency should dominate a taxed Bay Hawks defense that yields 97.3 ppg. Home court offers minimal mitigation when one team is 3-16 and the other is 13-5 with clear talent separation.

Динамика результативности

Первая половина (Q1-Q2) 92P Saints establish early dominance; Hawks struggle to keep pace

Вторая половина (Q3-Q4) 95P Wellington maintains control; Bay Hawks chip away late

Всего очков 187 Диапазон 180-195

Анализ противостояния

Bay Hawks

J. Ball scoring punch

Rasmussen playmaking and balance

Grida Daniel rebounding edge

Worst record in league

Severe defensive vulnerability

Saints

E. Pepper elite scoring (29 ppg)

Strong defensive rating (90.3 opp ppg)

Balanced offensive attack

Recent loss to Canterbury Rams

Inconsistent form last five games

Факторы риска

Bay Hawks home court momentum shift

Wellington's recent inconsistency (1 loss in last 5)

Head-to-head blowout precedent (107-79)

Игроки, за которыми стоит следить

E. Pepper Saints Elite scorer at 29.2 ppg; will dominate Hawks' weak perimeter defense

J. Ball Bay Hawks Bay Hawks' only consistent offensive threat; needs 20+ to keep competitive

A. Aliir Saints Defensive anchor; critical to slowing Ball and protecting the paint

K. Rasmussen Bay Hawks Ball distributor; must generate efficient offense in limited minutes

Статистические преимущества

Первым наберёт очки Saints 72%

Самая результативная четверть Q2

Превью матча

Wellington establishes control early, with E. Pepper immediately asserting dominance against the Bay Hawks' porous perimeter defense. By the end of Q1, Pepper and the Saints' balanced offensive movement force a 26-19 lead. In Q2, J. Ball keeps Bay Hawks scrappy with mid-range success, but Wellington's paint presence and Aliir's rim protection prove too much; the Saints extend to a 53-39 halftime advantage. The second half sees Bay Hawks mount modest resistance as K. Rasmussen and Grida Daniel generate some interior activity, closing the gap briefly in Q3 to within 13 points. However, Wellington's depth—including bench contributions from Ingram and Hunt Jordan—ensures no genuine run gains traction. Pepper finishes with a dominant 32-point night, and Wellington cruises to a comfortable 105-82 victory, reinforcing their top-four standing while Bay Hawks sink further toward the basement.

Wellington's 13-5 record, elite offense, and dominant head-to-head precedent (28-point win) far outweigh Bay Hawks' home court. Bay Hawks' 3-16 record and worst defensive rating in league ensure a blowout. Only injury to Pepper would shift confidence below 85%.

Wellington Saints — Bay Hawks — обзор матча

Wellington Saints обыграли Bay Hawks 107-82 в матче NBL July 23, 2026 на арене Pettigrew Green Arena.

Wellington Saints вели 58-43 к большому перерыву, и они довели дело до конца с преимуществом в 25 очков.

До начала матча наша AI-модель предсказала победу Wellington Saints со счётом 105-82 — прогноз оказался верным. Прогноз предполагал 187 суммарных очков против 189 фактически набранных; полный прогноз по четвертям для этого матча можно бесплатно посмотреть на этой странице.

Следите за матчем Wellington Saints — Bay Hawks в лиге NBL: счёт в реальном времени, табло по четвертям, полная статистика матча и показатели команд. Basketball Predicts сочетает данные в реальном времени с AI-аналитикой — форма команд, история личных встреч и тенденции результативности — чтобы дать вам полную картину каждого противостояния.

Сравнение по сезону

Saints

STAT

Bay Hawks

13-5 Баланс 3-16

.722 PCT .158

4 Позиция 11

1782 Набрано очков 1641

1626 Пропущено очков 1848

18 Сыграно матчей 19

- Серия -

99.0 Очков за игру 86.4

90.3 Очков соперника за игру 97.3

Личные встречи

Последние 1 встреч

Май 25, 2026

Bay Hawks 79 - 107 Saints

Saints Недавние

Июл 18 vs Tauranga Whai 95-107 W

Июл 12 vs Rams 98-88 L

Июл 10 @ Tauranga Whai 109-95 W

Июл 4 @ Otago Nuggets 91-90 W

Июн 27 vs Nelson Giants 109-111 W

Bay Hawks Недавние

Июл 18 @ Sharks 62-103 L

Июл 16 @ Otago Nuggets 79-92 L

Июл 11 @ Manawatu Jets 88-97 L

Июл 2 vs Taranaki Airs 96-74 L

Июн 28 @ Rams 77-93 L

Табло