NBL · Pettigrew Green Arena

Wellington Saints 13-5

Zakończony

107 : 82

Bay Hawks 3-16

Tablica wyników

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	42	16	25	24	107
Bay Hawks	20	23	12	27	82

PROGNOZA AIPrognoza sieci neuronowej

Ta prognoza powstała przed rozpoczęciem meczu — porównaj ją z wynikiem końcowym powyżej.

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	26	27	26	26	105
Bay Hawks	19	20	21	22	82

Pewność: 88% Saints faworytem

This matchup pits the NBL's worst team (Bay Hawks, 3-16, 86.4 ppg) against one of its best (Wellington Saints, 13-5, 99.0 ppg). Bay Hawks are in free fall, losing five consecutive games with defensive collapses—most recently a 62-103 hammering at Southland. Their -10.9 point differential reflects systemic issues on both ends. Wellington, meanwhile, is a top-4 team driven by elite scoring: E. Pepper averages 29.2 ppg, supported by Aliir's two-way presence and Carlin's playmaking. Although Wellington dropped to Canterbury last week, their 88-98 loss shows they can be vulnerable; however, that was away from home. The May 25 head-to-head (Wellington 107, Bay Hawks 79) illustrates the talent and defensive gulf. Bay Hawks have J. Ball (20.5 ppg in recent games) and Rasmussen's facilitation, but neither player is equipped to contain Pepper or keep pace with Wellington's balanced attack. Wellington's pace advantage and superior offensive efficiency should dominate a taxed Bay Hawks defense that yields 97.3 ppg. Home court offers minimal mitigation when one team is 3-16 and the other is 13-5 with clear talent separation.

Dynamika punktowania

Pierwsza połowa (Q1-Q2) 92P Saints establish early dominance; Hawks struggle to keep pace

Druga połowa (Q3-Q4) 95P Wellington maintains control; Bay Hawks chip away late

Suma punktów 187 Przedział 180-195

Analiza meczu

Bay Hawks

J. Ball scoring punch

Rasmussen playmaking and balance

Grida Daniel rebounding edge

Worst record in league

Severe defensive vulnerability

Saints

E. Pepper elite scoring (29 ppg)

Strong defensive rating (90.3 opp ppg)

Balanced offensive attack

Recent loss to Canterbury Rams

Inconsistent form last five games

Czynniki ryzyka

Bay Hawks home court momentum shift

Wellington's recent inconsistency (1 loss in last 5)

Head-to-head blowout precedent (107-79)

Zawodnicy warci uwagi

E. Pepper Saints Elite scorer at 29.2 ppg; will dominate Hawks' weak perimeter defense

J. Ball Bay Hawks Bay Hawks' only consistent offensive threat; needs 20+ to keep competitive

A. Aliir Saints Defensive anchor; critical to slowing Ball and protecting the paint

K. Rasmussen Bay Hawks Ball distributor; must generate efficient offense in limited minutes

Przewagi statystyczne

Pierwszy punkt Saints 72%

Najgorętsza kwarta Q2

Zapowiedź meczu

Wellington establishes control early, with E. Pepper immediately asserting dominance against the Bay Hawks' porous perimeter defense. By the end of Q1, Pepper and the Saints' balanced offensive movement force a 26-19 lead. In Q2, J. Ball keeps Bay Hawks scrappy with mid-range success, but Wellington's paint presence and Aliir's rim protection prove too much; the Saints extend to a 53-39 halftime advantage. The second half sees Bay Hawks mount modest resistance as K. Rasmussen and Grida Daniel generate some interior activity, closing the gap briefly in Q3 to within 13 points. However, Wellington's depth—including bench contributions from Ingram and Hunt Jordan—ensures no genuine run gains traction. Pepper finishes with a dominant 32-point night, and Wellington cruises to a comfortable 105-82 victory, reinforcing their top-four standing while Bay Hawks sink further toward the basement.

Wellington's 13-5 record, elite offense, and dominant head-to-head precedent (28-point win) far outweigh Bay Hawks' home court. Bay Hawks' 3-16 record and worst defensive rating in league ensure a blowout. Only injury to Pepper would shift confidence below 85%.

Wellington Saints vs Bay Hawks — podsumowanie meczu

Wellington Saints pokonał Bay Hawks 107-82 w rozgrywkach NBL w dniu July 23, 2026 w Pettigrew Green Arena.

Wellington Saints prowadził do przerwy 58-43, i ten zespół dokończył dzieła, wygrywając różnicą 25 punktów.

Przed meczem nasz model AI przewidywał zwycięstwo Wellington Saints 105-82 — typ okazał się trafny. Prognoza zakładała łącznie 187 punktów wobec 189 faktycznie zdobytych; pełna prognoza kwarta po kwarcie dla tego meczu jest dostępna bezpłatnie na tej stronie.

Śledź mecz Wellington Saints vs Bay Hawks w NBL z wynikami na żywo, tablicą kwarta po kwarcie, pełnym box score i statystykami drużyn. Basketball Predicts łączy dane w czasie rzeczywistym z analityką opartą na AI — formą drużyn, historią bezpośrednich spotkań i trendami punktowymi — aby dać Ci pełny obraz każdego meczu.

Porównanie sezonu

Saints

STAT

Bay Hawks

13-5 Bilans 3-16

.722 PCT .158

4 Pozycja 11

1782 Punkty zdobyte 1641

1626 Punkty stracone 1848

18 Rozegrane mecze 19

- Seria -

99.0 Punkty na mecz 86.4

90.3 Punkty rywali na mecz 97.3

Bezpośrednie spotkania

Ostatnie 1 spotkań

Maj 25, 2026

Bay Hawks 79 - 107 Saints

Saints — ostatnie mecze

Lip 18 vs Tauranga Whai 95-107 W

Lip 12 vs Rams 98-88 L

Lip 10 @ Tauranga Whai 109-95 W

Lip 4 @ Otago Nuggets 91-90 W

Cze 27 vs Nelson Giants 109-111 W

Bay Hawks — ostatnie mecze

Lip 18 @ Sharks 62-103 L

Lip 16 @ Otago Nuggets 79-92 L

Lip 11 @ Manawatu Jets 88-97 L

Lip 2 vs Taranaki Airs 96-74 L

Cze 28 @ Rams 77-93 L

Tablica wyników