NBL · Pettigrew Green Arena

Wellington Saints 13-5

終了

107 : 82

Bay Hawks 3-16

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	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	42	16	25	24	107
Bay Hawks	20	23	12	27	82

AI予想ニューラルネットワーク予想

この予想は試合開始前に生成されたものです。上の最終スコアと比べてみてください。

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	26	27	26	26	105
Bay Hawks	19	20	21	22	82

信頼度: 88% Saints 優勢

This matchup pits the NBL's worst team (Bay Hawks, 3-16, 86.4 ppg) against one of its best (Wellington Saints, 13-5, 99.0 ppg). Bay Hawks are in free fall, losing five consecutive games with defensive collapses—most recently a 62-103 hammering at Southland. Their -10.9 point differential reflects systemic issues on both ends. Wellington, meanwhile, is a top-4 team driven by elite scoring: E. Pepper averages 29.2 ppg, supported by Aliir's two-way presence and Carlin's playmaking. Although Wellington dropped to Canterbury last week, their 88-98 loss shows they can be vulnerable; however, that was away from home. The May 25 head-to-head (Wellington 107, Bay Hawks 79) illustrates the talent and defensive gulf. Bay Hawks have J. Ball (20.5 ppg in recent games) and Rasmussen's facilitation, but neither player is equipped to contain Pepper or keep pace with Wellington's balanced attack. Wellington's pace advantage and superior offensive efficiency should dominate a taxed Bay Hawks defense that yields 97.3 ppg. Home court offers minimal mitigation when one team is 3-16 and the other is 13-5 with clear talent separation.

得点の流れ

前半 (Q1-Q2) 92P Saints establish early dominance; Hawks struggle to keep pace

後半 (Q3-Q4) 95P Wellington maintains control; Bay Hawks chip away late

合計得点 187 範囲 180-195

マッチアップ分析

Bay Hawks

J. Ball scoring punch

Rasmussen playmaking and balance

Grida Daniel rebounding edge

Worst record in league

Severe defensive vulnerability

Saints

E. Pepper elite scoring (29 ppg)

Strong defensive rating (90.3 opp ppg)

Balanced offensive attack

Recent loss to Canterbury Rams

Inconsistent form last five games

リスク要因

Bay Hawks home court momentum shift

Wellington's recent inconsistency (1 loss in last 5)

Head-to-head blowout precedent (107-79)

注目選手

E. Pepper Saints Elite scorer at 29.2 ppg; will dominate Hawks' weak perimeter defense

J. Ball Bay Hawks Bay Hawks' only consistent offensive threat; needs 20+ to keep competitive

A. Aliir Saints Defensive anchor; critical to slowing Ball and protecting the paint

K. Rasmussen Bay Hawks Ball distributor; must generate efficient offense in limited minutes

統計的優位性

先制 Saints 72%

最も得点が動くクォーター Q2

試合プレビュー

Wellington establishes control early, with E. Pepper immediately asserting dominance against the Bay Hawks' porous perimeter defense. By the end of Q1, Pepper and the Saints' balanced offensive movement force a 26-19 lead. In Q2, J. Ball keeps Bay Hawks scrappy with mid-range success, but Wellington's paint presence and Aliir's rim protection prove too much; the Saints extend to a 53-39 halftime advantage. The second half sees Bay Hawks mount modest resistance as K. Rasmussen and Grida Daniel generate some interior activity, closing the gap briefly in Q3 to within 13 points. However, Wellington's depth—including bench contributions from Ingram and Hunt Jordan—ensures no genuine run gains traction. Pepper finishes with a dominant 32-point night, and Wellington cruises to a comfortable 105-82 victory, reinforcing their top-four standing while Bay Hawks sink further toward the basement.

Wellington's 13-5 record, elite offense, and dominant head-to-head precedent (28-point win) far outweigh Bay Hawks' home court. Bay Hawks' 3-16 record and worst defensive rating in league ensure a blowout. Only injury to Pepper would shift confidence below 85%.

Wellington Saints vs Bay Hawks — 試合振り返り

July 23, 2026(会場:Pettigrew Green Arena)、NBLの試合でWellington SaintsがBay Hawksを107-82で下しました。

ハーフタイム時点でWellington Saintsが58-43とリード, そして同チームが25点差で勝ち切りました。

試合開始前、当社のAIモデルはWellington Saintsが105-82で勝つと予想しました — ピックは的中しました。予想の合計得点は187点、実際の合計得点は189点でした。この試合のクォーターごとの完全な予想は、このページで無料でご覧いただけます。

NBLのWellington Saints対Bay Hawks戦を、ライブスコア、クォーターごとのスコアボード、フルボックススコア、チーム統計で追いかけましょう。Basketball PredictsはリアルタイムデータとAI分析 — チームの調子、直接対戦の歴史、得点傾向 — を組み合わせ、すべてのマッチアップの全体像をお届けします。

シーズン比較

Saints

STAT

Bay Hawks

13-5 成績 3-16

.722 PCT .158

4 順位 11

1782 得点 1641

1626 失点 1848

18 試合数 19

- 連続 -

99.0 1試合平均得点 86.4

90.3 1試合平均失点 97.3

直接対戦

直近 1 試合

5月 25, 2026

Bay Hawks 79 - 107 Saints

Saints 直近

7月 18 vs Tauranga Whai 95-107 W

7月 12 vs Rams 98-88 L

7月 10 @ Tauranga Whai 109-95 W

7月 4 @ Otago Nuggets 91-90 W

6月 27 vs Nelson Giants 109-111 W

Bay Hawks 直近

7月 18 @ Sharks 62-103 L

7月 16 @ Otago Nuggets 79-92 L

7月 11 @ Manawatu Jets 88-97 L

7月 2 vs Taranaki Airs 96-74 L

6月 28 @ Rams 77-93 L

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