NBL · Pettigrew Green Arena

Wellington Saints 13-5

Encerrado

107 : 82

Bay Hawks 3-16

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	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	42	16	25	24	107
Bay Hawks	20	23	12	27	82

PREVISÃO DA IAPrevisão da Rede Neural

Esta previsão foi gerada antes do início do jogo — compare com o placar final acima.

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	26	27	26	26	105
Bay Hawks	19	20	21	22	82

Confiança: 88% Saints favorito

This matchup pits the NBL's worst team (Bay Hawks, 3-16, 86.4 ppg) against one of its best (Wellington Saints, 13-5, 99.0 ppg). Bay Hawks are in free fall, losing five consecutive games with defensive collapses—most recently a 62-103 hammering at Southland. Their -10.9 point differential reflects systemic issues on both ends. Wellington, meanwhile, is a top-4 team driven by elite scoring: E. Pepper averages 29.2 ppg, supported by Aliir's two-way presence and Carlin's playmaking. Although Wellington dropped to Canterbury last week, their 88-98 loss shows they can be vulnerable; however, that was away from home. The May 25 head-to-head (Wellington 107, Bay Hawks 79) illustrates the talent and defensive gulf. Bay Hawks have J. Ball (20.5 ppg in recent games) and Rasmussen's facilitation, but neither player is equipped to contain Pepper or keep pace with Wellington's balanced attack. Wellington's pace advantage and superior offensive efficiency should dominate a taxed Bay Hawks defense that yields 97.3 ppg. Home court offers minimal mitigation when one team is 3-16 and the other is 13-5 with clear talent separation.

Dinâmica de Pontuação

1º Tempo (Q1-Q2) 92P Saints establish early dominance; Hawks struggle to keep pace

2º Tempo (Q3-Q4) 95P Wellington maintains control; Bay Hawks chip away late

Total de Pontos 187 Faixa 180-195

Análise do Confronto

Bay Hawks

J. Ball scoring punch

Rasmussen playmaking and balance

Grida Daniel rebounding edge

Worst record in league

Severe defensive vulnerability

Saints

E. Pepper elite scoring (29 ppg)

Strong defensive rating (90.3 opp ppg)

Balanced offensive attack

Recent loss to Canterbury Rams

Inconsistent form last five games

Fatores de Risco

Bay Hawks home court momentum shift

Wellington's recent inconsistency (1 loss in last 5)

Head-to-head blowout precedent (107-79)

Jogadores para Ficar de Olho

E. Pepper Saints Elite scorer at 29.2 ppg; will dominate Hawks' weak perimeter defense

J. Ball Bay Hawks Bay Hawks' only consistent offensive threat; needs 20+ to keep competitive

A. Aliir Saints Defensive anchor; critical to slowing Ball and protecting the paint

K. Rasmussen Bay Hawks Ball distributor; must generate efficient offense in limited minutes

Vantagens Estatísticas

Primeiro a Pontuar Saints 72%

Quarto Mais Quente Q2

Prévia do Jogo

Wellington establishes control early, with E. Pepper immediately asserting dominance against the Bay Hawks' porous perimeter defense. By the end of Q1, Pepper and the Saints' balanced offensive movement force a 26-19 lead. In Q2, J. Ball keeps Bay Hawks scrappy with mid-range success, but Wellington's paint presence and Aliir's rim protection prove too much; the Saints extend to a 53-39 halftime advantage. The second half sees Bay Hawks mount modest resistance as K. Rasmussen and Grida Daniel generate some interior activity, closing the gap briefly in Q3 to within 13 points. However, Wellington's depth—including bench contributions from Ingram and Hunt Jordan—ensures no genuine run gains traction. Pepper finishes with a dominant 32-point night, and Wellington cruises to a comfortable 105-82 victory, reinforcing their top-four standing while Bay Hawks sink further toward the basement.

Wellington's 13-5 record, elite offense, and dominant head-to-head precedent (28-point win) far outweigh Bay Hawks' home court. Bay Hawks' 3-16 record and worst defensive rating in league ensure a blowout. Only injury to Pepper would shift confidence below 85%.

Wellington Saints x Bay Hawks — Resumo do Jogo

Wellington Saints venceu Bay Hawks por 107-82 pela NBL em July 23, 2026 no Pettigrew Green Arena.

Wellington Saints vencia por 58-43 no intervalo, e eles fechou o jogo com uma vantagem de 25 pontos.

Antes do início do jogo, nosso modelo de IA previu vitória de Wellington Saints por 105-82 — o palpite estava certo. A previsão projetava 187 pontos no total contra 189 realmente marcados; a previsão completa quarto a quarto deste jogo pode ser vista gratuitamente nesta página.

Acompanhe Wellington Saints x Bay Hawks pela NBL com placares ao vivo, placar quarto a quarto, box score completo e estatísticas das equipes. O Basketball Predicts combina dados em tempo real com análises baseadas em IA — fase das equipes, histórico de confrontos diretos e tendências de pontuação — para dar a você o panorama completo de cada confronto.

Comparativo da Temporada

Saints

STAT

Bay Hawks

13-5 Campanha 3-16

.722 PCT .158

4 Posição 11

1782 Pontos Marcados 1641

1626 Pontos Sofridos 1848

18 Jogos Disputados 19

- Seq. -

99.0 Pontos por Jogo 86.4

90.3 Pontos Sofridos por Jogo 97.3

Confronto Direto

Últimos 1 confrontos

Mai 25, 2026

Bay Hawks 79 - 107 Saints

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Bay Hawks Recentes

Jul 18 @ Sharks 62-103 L

Jul 16 @ Otago Nuggets 79-92 L

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Jul 2 vs Taranaki Airs 96-74 L

Jun 28 @ Rams 77-93 L

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