NBL · Pettigrew Green Arena

Wellington Saints 13-5

Päättynyt

107 : 82

Bay Hawks 3-16

Tulostaulu

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	42	16	25	24	107
Bay Hawks	20	23	12	27	82

TEKOÄLYENNUSTENeuroverkkoennuste

Tämä ennuste luotiin ennen aloitusheittoa — vertaa sitä yllä olevaan lopputulokseen.

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	26	27	26	26	105
Bay Hawks	19	20	21	22	82

Varmuus: 88% Saints suosikki

This matchup pits the NBL's worst team (Bay Hawks, 3-16, 86.4 ppg) against one of its best (Wellington Saints, 13-5, 99.0 ppg). Bay Hawks are in free fall, losing five consecutive games with defensive collapses—most recently a 62-103 hammering at Southland. Their -10.9 point differential reflects systemic issues on both ends. Wellington, meanwhile, is a top-4 team driven by elite scoring: E. Pepper averages 29.2 ppg, supported by Aliir's two-way presence and Carlin's playmaking. Although Wellington dropped to Canterbury last week, their 88-98 loss shows they can be vulnerable; however, that was away from home. The May 25 head-to-head (Wellington 107, Bay Hawks 79) illustrates the talent and defensive gulf. Bay Hawks have J. Ball (20.5 ppg in recent games) and Rasmussen's facilitation, but neither player is equipped to contain Pepper or keep pace with Wellington's balanced attack. Wellington's pace advantage and superior offensive efficiency should dominate a taxed Bay Hawks defense that yields 97.3 ppg. Home court offers minimal mitigation when one team is 3-16 and the other is 13-5 with clear talent separation.

Pisteiden kehitys

Ensimmäinen puoliaika (Q1-Q2) 92P Saints establish early dominance; Hawks struggle to keep pace

Toinen puoliaika (Q3-Q4) 95P Wellington maintains control; Bay Hawks chip away late

Kokonaispisteet 187 Vaihteluväli 180-195

Otteluparin analyysi

Bay Hawks

J. Ball scoring punch

Rasmussen playmaking and balance

Grida Daniel rebounding edge

Worst record in league

Severe defensive vulnerability

Saints

E. Pepper elite scoring (29 ppg)

Strong defensive rating (90.3 opp ppg)

Balanced offensive attack

Recent loss to Canterbury Rams

Inconsistent form last five games

Riskitekijät

Bay Hawks home court momentum shift

Wellington's recent inconsistency (1 loss in last 5)

Head-to-head blowout precedent (107-79)

Seurattavat pelaajat

E. Pepper Saints Elite scorer at 29.2 ppg; will dominate Hawks' weak perimeter defense

J. Ball Bay Hawks Bay Hawks' only consistent offensive threat; needs 20+ to keep competitive

A. Aliir Saints Defensive anchor; critical to slowing Ball and protecting the paint

K. Rasmussen Bay Hawks Ball distributor; must generate efficient offense in limited minutes

Tilastolliset edut

Ensimmäisenä pisteille Saints 72%

Kuumin neljännes Q2

Otteluennakko

Wellington establishes control early, with E. Pepper immediately asserting dominance against the Bay Hawks' porous perimeter defense. By the end of Q1, Pepper and the Saints' balanced offensive movement force a 26-19 lead. In Q2, J. Ball keeps Bay Hawks scrappy with mid-range success, but Wellington's paint presence and Aliir's rim protection prove too much; the Saints extend to a 53-39 halftime advantage. The second half sees Bay Hawks mount modest resistance as K. Rasmussen and Grida Daniel generate some interior activity, closing the gap briefly in Q3 to within 13 points. However, Wellington's depth—including bench contributions from Ingram and Hunt Jordan—ensures no genuine run gains traction. Pepper finishes with a dominant 32-point night, and Wellington cruises to a comfortable 105-82 victory, reinforcing their top-four standing while Bay Hawks sink further toward the basement.

Wellington's 13-5 record, elite offense, and dominant head-to-head precedent (28-point win) far outweigh Bay Hawks' home court. Bay Hawks' 3-16 record and worst defensive rating in league ensure a blowout. Only injury to Pepper would shift confidence below 85%.

Wellington Saints vs Bay Hawks — ottelukooste

Wellington Saints voitti joukkueen Bay Hawks lukemin 107-82 sarjassa NBL July 23, 2026 paikassa Pettigrew Green Arena.

Wellington Saints johti puoliajalla 58-43, ja he vei voiton kotiin 25 pisteen erolla.

Ennen aloitusheittoa tekoälymallimme ennusti voittajaksi Wellington Saints lukemin 105-82 — poiminta osui oikeaan. Ennuste arvioi kokonaispistemääräksi 187, kun todellisuudessa pisteitä tehtiin 189; tämän ottelun täysi neljänneskohtainen ennuste on katsottavissa ilmaiseksi tällä sivulla.

Seuraa ottelua Wellington Saints vs Bay Hawks sarjassa NBL live-tuloksin, neljänneskohtaisella tulostaululla, täydellä ottelutilastolla ja joukkuetilastoilla. Basketball Predicts yhdistää reaaliaikaisen datan tekoälyanalytiikkaan — joukkueiden vire, keskinäisten kohtaamisten historia ja pistetrendit — antaakseen sinulle täydellisen kuvan jokaisesta otteluparista.

Kausivertailu

Saints

STAT

Bay Hawks

13-5 Saldo 3-16

.722 PCT .158

4 Sijoitus 11

1782 Tehdyt pisteet 1641

1626 Päästetyt pisteet 1848

18 Pelatut ottelut 19

- Putki -

99.0 Pisteet ottelua kohden 86.4

90.3 Vastustajan pisteet ottelua kohden 97.3

Keskinäiset kohtaamiset

Viimeiset 1 kohtaamista

Tou 25, 2026

Bay Hawks 79 - 107 Saints

Saints Viimeaikaiset

Hei 18 vs Tauranga Whai 95-107 W

Hei 12 vs Rams 98-88 L

Hei 10 @ Tauranga Whai 109-95 W

Hei 4 @ Otago Nuggets 91-90 W

Kes 27 vs Nelson Giants 109-111 W

Bay Hawks Viimeaikaiset

Hei 18 @ Sharks 62-103 L

Hei 16 @ Otago Nuggets 79-92 L

Hei 11 @ Manawatu Jets 88-97 L

Hei 2 vs Taranaki Airs 96-74 L

Kes 28 @ Rams 77-93 L

Tulostaulu