NBL · Pettigrew Green Arena

Wellington Saints 13-5

Крај

107 : 82

Bay Hawks 3-16

Семафор

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	42	16	25	24	107
Bay Hawks	20	23	12	27	82

AI ПРОГНОЗАПрогноза неуронске мреже

Ова прогноза је направљена пре почетка утакмице — упоредите је са коначним резултатом изнад.

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	26	27	26	26	105
Bay Hawks	19	20	21	22	82

Поузданост: 88% Saints фаворит

This matchup pits the NBL's worst team (Bay Hawks, 3-16, 86.4 ppg) against one of its best (Wellington Saints, 13-5, 99.0 ppg). Bay Hawks are in free fall, losing five consecutive games with defensive collapses—most recently a 62-103 hammering at Southland. Their -10.9 point differential reflects systemic issues on both ends. Wellington, meanwhile, is a top-4 team driven by elite scoring: E. Pepper averages 29.2 ppg, supported by Aliir's two-way presence and Carlin's playmaking. Although Wellington dropped to Canterbury last week, their 88-98 loss shows they can be vulnerable; however, that was away from home. The May 25 head-to-head (Wellington 107, Bay Hawks 79) illustrates the talent and defensive gulf. Bay Hawks have J. Ball (20.5 ppg in recent games) and Rasmussen's facilitation, but neither player is equipped to contain Pepper or keep pace with Wellington's balanced attack. Wellington's pace advantage and superior offensive efficiency should dominate a taxed Bay Hawks defense that yields 97.3 ppg. Home court offers minimal mitigation when one team is 3-16 and the other is 13-5 with clear talent separation.

Динамика поентирања

Прво полувреме (Q1-Q2) 92P Saints establish early dominance; Hawks struggle to keep pace

Друго полувреме (Q3-Q4) 95P Wellington maintains control; Bay Hawks chip away late

Укупно поена 187 Распон 180-195

Анализа меча

Bay Hawks

J. Ball scoring punch

Rasmussen playmaking and balance

Grida Daniel rebounding edge

Worst record in league

Severe defensive vulnerability

Saints

E. Pepper elite scoring (29 ppg)

Strong defensive rating (90.3 opp ppg)

Balanced offensive attack

Recent loss to Canterbury Rams

Inconsistent form last five games

Фактори ризика

Bay Hawks home court momentum shift

Wellington's recent inconsistency (1 loss in last 5)

Head-to-head blowout precedent (107-79)

Играчи за праћење

E. Pepper Saints Elite scorer at 29.2 ppg; will dominate Hawks' weak perimeter defense

J. Ball Bay Hawks Bay Hawks' only consistent offensive threat; needs 20+ to keep competitive

A. Aliir Saints Defensive anchor; critical to slowing Ball and protecting the paint

K. Rasmussen Bay Hawks Ball distributor; must generate efficient offense in limited minutes

Статистичке предности

Први поентира Saints 72%

Најефикаснија четвртина Q2

Најава утакмице

Wellington establishes control early, with E. Pepper immediately asserting dominance against the Bay Hawks' porous perimeter defense. By the end of Q1, Pepper and the Saints' balanced offensive movement force a 26-19 lead. In Q2, J. Ball keeps Bay Hawks scrappy with mid-range success, but Wellington's paint presence and Aliir's rim protection prove too much; the Saints extend to a 53-39 halftime advantage. The second half sees Bay Hawks mount modest resistance as K. Rasmussen and Grida Daniel generate some interior activity, closing the gap briefly in Q3 to within 13 points. However, Wellington's depth—including bench contributions from Ingram and Hunt Jordan—ensures no genuine run gains traction. Pepper finishes with a dominant 32-point night, and Wellington cruises to a comfortable 105-82 victory, reinforcing their top-four standing while Bay Hawks sink further toward the basement.

Wellington's 13-5 record, elite offense, and dominant head-to-head precedent (28-point win) far outweigh Bay Hawks' home court. Bay Hawks' 3-16 record and worst defensive rating in league ensure a blowout. Only injury to Pepper would shift confidence below 85%.

Wellington Saints vs Bay Hawks — резиме утакмице

Wellington Saints је савладао Bay Hawks резултатом 107-82 у оквиру такмичења NBL, July 23, 2026 у дворани Pettigrew Green Arena.

Wellington Saints је на полувремену водио 58-43, и они је завршио посао са 25 поена разлике.

Пре почетка утакмице, наш AI модел је прогнозирао победу Wellington Saints резултатом 105-82 — тип је био тачан. Прогноза је пројектовала укупно 187 поена, а постигнуто је 189; комплетна прогноза по четвртинама за ову утакмицу бесплатно је доступна на овој страници.

Пратите Wellington Saints vs Bay Hawks у такмичењу NBL уз резултате уживо, семафор по четвртинама, комплетан бокс скор и статистику тимова. Basketball Predicts комбинује податке у реалном времену са AI аналитиком — форма тимова, међусобни дуели и трендови поентирања — за комплетну слику сваког меча.

Поређење сезона

Saints

STAT

Bay Hawks

13-5 Скор 3-16

.722 PCT .158

4 Пласман 11

1782 Постигнути поени 1641

1626 Примљени поени 1848

18 Одигране утакмице 19

- Низ -

99.0 Поена по утакмици 86.4

90.3 Примљено по утакмици 97.3

Међусобни дуели

Последњих 1 дуела

Мај. 25, 2026

Bay Hawks 79 - 107 Saints

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Јун. 27 vs Nelson Giants 109-111 W

Bay Hawks Недавно

Јул. 18 @ Sharks 62-103 L

Јул. 16 @ Otago Nuggets 79-92 L

Јул. 11 @ Manawatu Jets 88-97 L

Јул. 2 vs Taranaki Airs 96-74 L

Јун. 28 @ Rams 77-93 L

Семафор