NBL · Pettigrew Green Arena

Wellington Saints 13-5

Finale

107 : 82

Bay Hawks 3-16

Tabellone

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	42	16	25	24	107
Bay Hawks	20	23	12	27	82

PRONOSTICO AIPrevisione della rete neurale

Questo pronostico è stato generato prima della palla a due — confrontalo con il risultato finale qui sopra.

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	26	27	26	26	105
Bay Hawks	19	20	21	22	82

Affidabilità: 88% Saints favorita

This matchup pits the NBL's worst team (Bay Hawks, 3-16, 86.4 ppg) against one of its best (Wellington Saints, 13-5, 99.0 ppg). Bay Hawks are in free fall, losing five consecutive games with defensive collapses—most recently a 62-103 hammering at Southland. Their -10.9 point differential reflects systemic issues on both ends. Wellington, meanwhile, is a top-4 team driven by elite scoring: E. Pepper averages 29.2 ppg, supported by Aliir's two-way presence and Carlin's playmaking. Although Wellington dropped to Canterbury last week, their 88-98 loss shows they can be vulnerable; however, that was away from home. The May 25 head-to-head (Wellington 107, Bay Hawks 79) illustrates the talent and defensive gulf. Bay Hawks have J. Ball (20.5 ppg in recent games) and Rasmussen's facilitation, but neither player is equipped to contain Pepper or keep pace with Wellington's balanced attack. Wellington's pace advantage and superior offensive efficiency should dominate a taxed Bay Hawks defense that yields 97.3 ppg. Home court offers minimal mitigation when one team is 3-16 and the other is 13-5 with clear talent separation.

Dinamica del punteggio

Primo tempo (Q1-Q2) 92P Saints establish early dominance; Hawks struggle to keep pace

Secondo tempo (Q3-Q4) 95P Wellington maintains control; Bay Hawks chip away late

Punti totali 187 Intervallo 180-195

Analisi del confronto

Bay Hawks

J. Ball scoring punch

Rasmussen playmaking and balance

Grida Daniel rebounding edge

Worst record in league

Severe defensive vulnerability

Saints

E. Pepper elite scoring (29 ppg)

Strong defensive rating (90.3 opp ppg)

Balanced offensive attack

Recent loss to Canterbury Rams

Inconsistent form last five games

Fattori di rischio

Bay Hawks home court momentum shift

Wellington's recent inconsistency (1 loss in last 5)

Head-to-head blowout precedent (107-79)

Giocatori da tenere d'occhio

E. Pepper Saints Elite scorer at 29.2 ppg; will dominate Hawks' weak perimeter defense

J. Ball Bay Hawks Bay Hawks' only consistent offensive threat; needs 20+ to keep competitive

A. Aliir Saints Defensive anchor; critical to slowing Ball and protecting the paint

K. Rasmussen Bay Hawks Ball distributor; must generate efficient offense in limited minutes

Vantaggi statistici

Primo a segnare Saints 72%

Quarto più caldo Q2

Anteprima della partita

Wellington establishes control early, with E. Pepper immediately asserting dominance against the Bay Hawks' porous perimeter defense. By the end of Q1, Pepper and the Saints' balanced offensive movement force a 26-19 lead. In Q2, J. Ball keeps Bay Hawks scrappy with mid-range success, but Wellington's paint presence and Aliir's rim protection prove too much; the Saints extend to a 53-39 halftime advantage. The second half sees Bay Hawks mount modest resistance as K. Rasmussen and Grida Daniel generate some interior activity, closing the gap briefly in Q3 to within 13 points. However, Wellington's depth—including bench contributions from Ingram and Hunt Jordan—ensures no genuine run gains traction. Pepper finishes with a dominant 32-point night, and Wellington cruises to a comfortable 105-82 victory, reinforcing their top-four standing while Bay Hawks sink further toward the basement.

Wellington's 13-5 record, elite offense, and dominant head-to-head precedent (28-point win) far outweigh Bay Hawks' home court. Bay Hawks' 3-16 record and worst defensive rating in league ensure a blowout. Only injury to Pepper would shift confidence below 85%.

Wellington Saints vs Bay Hawks — Riepilogo della partita

Wellington Saints ha battuto Bay Hawks 107-82 in NBL il July 23, 2026 presso Pettigrew Green Arena.

Wellington Saints conduceva 58-43 all'intervallo, e la squadra ha chiuso i conti con un margine di 25 punti.

Prima della palla a due, il nostro modello AI aveva pronosticato la vittoria di Wellington Saints per 105-82 — il pronostico si è rivelato corretto. La previsione indicava 187 punti totali contro i 189 effettivamente segnati; il pronostico completo quarto per quarto di questa partita è visibile gratuitamente in questa pagina.

Segui Wellington Saints vs Bay Hawks in NBL con risultati live, tabellone quarto per quarto, box score completo e statistiche di squadra. Basketball Predicts combina dati in tempo reale e analisi basate sull'AI — forma delle squadre, precedenti e tendenze di punteggio — per darti il quadro completo di ogni confronto.

Confronto stagionale

Saints

STAT

Bay Hawks

13-5 Record 3-16

.722 PCT .158

4 Posizione 11

1782 Punti fatti 1641

1626 Punti subiti 1848

18 Partite giocate 19

- Striscia -

99.0 Punti a partita 86.4

90.3 Punti subiti a partita 97.3

Scontri diretti

Ultimi 1 confronti

Mag 25, 2026

Bay Hawks 79 - 107 Saints

Saints Recenti

Lug 18 vs Tauranga Whai 95-107 W

Lug 12 vs Rams 98-88 L

Lug 10 @ Tauranga Whai 109-95 W

Lug 4 @ Otago Nuggets 91-90 W

Giu 27 vs Nelson Giants 109-111 W

Bay Hawks Recenti

Lug 18 @ Sharks 62-103 L

Lug 16 @ Otago Nuggets 79-92 L

Lug 11 @ Manawatu Jets 88-97 L

Lug 2 vs Taranaki Airs 96-74 L

Giu 28 @ Rams 77-93 L

Tabellone