NBL · Pettigrew Green Arena

Wellington Saints 13-5

Terminé

107 : 82

Bay Hawks 3-16

Tableau des scores

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	42	16	25	24	107
Bay Hawks	20	23	12	27	82

PRONOSTIC IAPrévision du réseau de neurones

Cette prévision a été générée avant le coup d'envoi — comparez-la au score final ci-dessus.

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	T
Saints	26	27	26	26	105
Bay Hawks	19	20	21	22	82

Confiance: 88% Saints favori

This matchup pits the NBL's worst team (Bay Hawks, 3-16, 86.4 ppg) against one of its best (Wellington Saints, 13-5, 99.0 ppg). Bay Hawks are in free fall, losing five consecutive games with defensive collapses—most recently a 62-103 hammering at Southland. Their -10.9 point differential reflects systemic issues on both ends. Wellington, meanwhile, is a top-4 team driven by elite scoring: E. Pepper averages 29.2 ppg, supported by Aliir's two-way presence and Carlin's playmaking. Although Wellington dropped to Canterbury last week, their 88-98 loss shows they can be vulnerable; however, that was away from home. The May 25 head-to-head (Wellington 107, Bay Hawks 79) illustrates the talent and defensive gulf. Bay Hawks have J. Ball (20.5 ppg in recent games) and Rasmussen's facilitation, but neither player is equipped to contain Pepper or keep pace with Wellington's balanced attack. Wellington's pace advantage and superior offensive efficiency should dominate a taxed Bay Hawks defense that yields 97.3 ppg. Home court offers minimal mitigation when one team is 3-16 and the other is 13-5 with clear talent separation.

Dynamique du score

1re mi-temps (Q1-Q2) 92P Saints establish early dominance; Hawks struggle to keep pace

2e mi-temps (Q3-Q4) 95P Wellington maintains control; Bay Hawks chip away late

Total de points 187 Fourchette 180-195

Analyse de la confrontation

Bay Hawks

J. Ball scoring punch

Rasmussen playmaking and balance

Grida Daniel rebounding edge

Worst record in league

Severe defensive vulnerability

Saints

E. Pepper elite scoring (29 ppg)

Strong defensive rating (90.3 opp ppg)

Balanced offensive attack

Recent loss to Canterbury Rams

Inconsistent form last five games

Facteurs de risque

Bay Hawks home court momentum shift

Wellington's recent inconsistency (1 loss in last 5)

Head-to-head blowout precedent (107-79)

Joueurs à suivre

E. Pepper Saints Elite scorer at 29.2 ppg; will dominate Hawks' weak perimeter defense

J. Ball Bay Hawks Bay Hawks' only consistent offensive threat; needs 20+ to keep competitive

A. Aliir Saints Defensive anchor; critical to slowing Ball and protecting the paint

K. Rasmussen Bay Hawks Ball distributor; must generate efficient offense in limited minutes

Avantages statistiques

Premier à marquer Saints 72%

Quart-temps le plus prolifique Q2

Avant-match

Wellington establishes control early, with E. Pepper immediately asserting dominance against the Bay Hawks' porous perimeter defense. By the end of Q1, Pepper and the Saints' balanced offensive movement force a 26-19 lead. In Q2, J. Ball keeps Bay Hawks scrappy with mid-range success, but Wellington's paint presence and Aliir's rim protection prove too much; the Saints extend to a 53-39 halftime advantage. The second half sees Bay Hawks mount modest resistance as K. Rasmussen and Grida Daniel generate some interior activity, closing the gap briefly in Q3 to within 13 points. However, Wellington's depth—including bench contributions from Ingram and Hunt Jordan—ensures no genuine run gains traction. Pepper finishes with a dominant 32-point night, and Wellington cruises to a comfortable 105-82 victory, reinforcing their top-four standing while Bay Hawks sink further toward the basement.

Wellington's 13-5 record, elite offense, and dominant head-to-head precedent (28-point win) far outweigh Bay Hawks' home court. Bay Hawks' 3-16 record and worst defensive rating in league ensure a blowout. Only injury to Pepper would shift confidence below 85%.

Wellington Saints vs Bay Hawks — Résumé du match

Wellington Saints a battu Bay Hawks 107-82 en NBL le July 23, 2026 à Pettigrew Green Arena.

Wellington Saints menait 58-43 à la mi-temps, et elle a terminé le travail avec un écart de 25 points.

Avant le coup d'envoi, notre modèle IA prédisait une victoire de Wellington Saints 105-82 — le pronostic était correct. La prévision projetait 187 points au total contre 189 réellement marqués ; le pronostic complet quart-temps par quart-temps de ce match est consultable gratuitement sur cette page.

Suivez Wellington Saints vs Bay Hawks en NBL avec les scores en direct, le tableau quart-temps par quart-temps, le box score complet et les statistiques des équipes. Basketball Predicts combine données en temps réel et analyses propulsées par l'IA — forme des équipes, historique des confrontations et tendances de score — pour vous offrir une vision complète de chaque affiche.

Comparaison de la saison

Saints

STAT

Bay Hawks

13-5 Bilan 3-16

.722 PCT .158

4 Position 11

1782 Points marqués 1641

1626 Points encaissés 1848

18 Matchs joués 19

- Série -

99.0 Points par match 86.4

90.3 Points encaissés par match 97.3

Confrontations directes

Bilan des 1 dernières confrontations

Mai 25, 2026

Bay Hawks 79 - 107 Saints

Saints Forme récente

Jul 18 vs Tauranga Whai 95-107 W

Jul 12 vs Rams 98-88 L

Jul 10 @ Tauranga Whai 109-95 W

Jul 4 @ Otago Nuggets 91-90 W

Jui 27 vs Nelson Giants 109-111 W

Bay Hawks Forme récente

Jul 18 @ Sharks 62-103 L

Jul 16 @ Otago Nuggets 79-92 L

Jul 11 @ Manawatu Jets 88-97 L

Jul 2 vs Taranaki Airs 96-74 L

Jui 28 @ Rams 77-93 L

Tableau des scores